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Stadium Background

AD San Juan vs Pamplona

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD San Juan play Pamplona in the Tercera RFEF - Group 15. It looks like a close match. Recently, AD San Juan averaged 1.24 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. Pamplona averaged 1.77 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, AD San Juan won 0, Pamplona won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for AD San Juan and 1.50 for Pamplona. This points to a Pamplona double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
AD San Juan
35%
Draws
40%
Pamplona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pamplona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • AD San Juan picked up more points recently compared to Pamplona.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.76 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
AD San Juan Clean Sheet 16%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD San Juan Pamplona
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 10 22
Draws 15 9
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.24 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs AD San Juan
1:1
May 16, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
AD San Juan vs Pamplona
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
AD San Juan vs Pamplona
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs AD San Juan
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs AD San Juan
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD San Juan 26 / 100
Pamplona 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD San Juan Pamplona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pamplona or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AD San Juan attacking → ← attacking Pamplona

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD San Juan scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Pamplona let in goals in 63% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

AD San Juan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pamplona lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 75
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pena34245565:3977
2Pamplona34228465:2874
3Izarra341613564:3161
4Subiza341591046:3154
5AD San Juan341216643:2852
6Huarte341521749:4747
7Beti Kozkor3412101250:4346
8Ezcabarte341291347:4945
9Cortes341351637:5144
10Cirbonero3411101338:4243
11Txantrea341271552:6743
12Valle Egues341191448:5742
13Bidezarra341091534:4039
14Aoiz34991641:4936
15CD Beti Onak34991642:5536
16CD Ardoi348121446:5636
17Oberena347101732:6131
18CA Artajones347101736:6131