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AD San Juan vs Pena

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Recalde J.
60'
Juanena J.
90' Event
Berruete I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
AD San Juan
20%
Draws
46%
Pena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pena lately — more wins on the board than AD San Juan.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on AD San Juan taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
AD San Juan Clean Sheet 68%
Pena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD San Juan Pena
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 14 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.26 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Club Friendly
AD San Juan vs Pena
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
AD San Juan vs Pena
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs AD San Juan
2:1
Mar 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
AD San Juan vs Pena
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs AD San Juan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD San Juan Compare

Top Goalscorer Berruete I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Recalde J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD San Juan 46 / 100
Pena 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD San Juan Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

AD San Juan's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: AD San Juan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AD San Juan VS Pena
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD San Juan

(Home)
19 Sept
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Txantrea
12 Sept
Izarra
4 : 1
AD San Juan
09 Sept
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Terrassa
05 Sept
AD San Juan
5 : 0
Cortes
14 Aug
AD San Juan
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
Page 1 of 7

Pena

(Away)
19 Sept
Pena
2 : 1
Espanyol B
12 Sept
CE Manresa
2 : 0
Pena
06 Sept
Pena
1 : 1
Utebo FC
25 Aug
Erriberri
0 : 3
Pena
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)