Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Sarchi vs AD Rosario

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Canales J.
(Penalty)
52' Event
80' Event
Mondragon J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between AD Sarchi and AD Rosario finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Sarchi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
AD Sarchi
15%
Draws
53%
AD Rosario
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Rosario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • AD Sarchi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AD Sarchi's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 19%
AD Rosario Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Sarchi AD Rosario
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs AD Rosario
2:1
Mar 7, 2020 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs AD Sarchi
3:2
Jan 22, 2020 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs AD Rosario
1:0
Sep 29, 2019 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs AD Rosario
1:1
Aug 8, 2019 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs AD Sarchi
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Sarchi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mondragon J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

AD Rosario Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Sarchi 40 / 100
AD Rosario 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Sarchi AD Rosario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Sarchi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Rosario has conceded goals in 85% of their last 26 outings.

AD Sarchi scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

AD Sarchi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Sarchi VS AD Rosario
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Sarchi

(Home)
27 Sept
AD Sarchi
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
Page 1 of 6

AD Rosario

(Away)
20 Sept
ADR Jicaral
1 : 1
AD Rosario
12 Sept
AD Rosario
2 : 1
Cofutpa
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
23 Aug
AD Rosario
3 : 2
Grecia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 8 5 3 0 12:4 18
2 Quepos FC 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
3 Grecia 7 3 2 2 8:6 11
4 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
5 AD Rosario 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
6 Santa Cruz 8 2 0 6 11:18 6
7 Cofutpa 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pitbulls 9 5 3 1 16:11 18
2 Santa Ana 8 5 0 3 11:9 15
3 Aserri 9 4 2 3 8:8 14
4 Carmelita 9 3 3 3 16:11 12
5 Cariari Pococi 7 3 3 1 9:7 12
6 FC Moravia 9 3 1 5 12:10 10
7 CS Uruguay 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
8 Guadalupe 9 1 3 5 10:17 6
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)