Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Sarchi vs ADR Jicaral

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Matarrita J.
41' Event
Corrales B.
90' Event
Pimpinati D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 game between AD Sarchi and ADR Jicaral finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ADR Jicaral.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
AD Sarchi
30%
Draws
43%
ADR Jicaral
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ADR Jicaral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ADR Jicaral come out ahead of AD Sarchi on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on ADR Jicaral taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 21%
ADR Jicaral Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Sarchi ADR Jicaral
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 10 17
Draws 9 11
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.36 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs AD Sarchi
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs AD Sarchi
3:2
Feb 21, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs ADR Jicaral
0:3
Nov 9, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs ADR Jicaral
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs AD Sarchi
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Sarchi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

ADR Jicaral Compare

Top Goalscorer Matarrita J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corrales B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Sarchi 16 / 100
ADR Jicaral 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Sarchi ADR Jicaral

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADR Jicaral Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AD Sarchi scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: AD Sarchi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

ADR Jicaral has conceded goals in 55% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

AD Sarchi VS ADR Jicaral
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Sarchi

(Home)
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
23 Aug
AD Sarchi
1 : 1
Quepos FC
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ADR Jicaral

(Away)
20 Sept
ADR Jicaral
1 : 1
AD Rosario
13 Sept
Grecia
1 : 1
ADR Jicaral
06 Sept
ADR Jicaral
2 : 0
Quepos FC
23 Aug
ADR Jicaral
4 : 1
Santa Cruz
17 Aug
Cofutpa
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)