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AD Sarchi vs Santa Cruz

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
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Match Events

50' Event
Morera P.
76' Event
Davila E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between AD Sarchi and Santa Cruz finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Sarchi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
AD Sarchi
40%
Draws
29%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Sarchi come out ahead of Santa Cruz on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 18%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Sarchi Santa Cruz
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 7 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs AD Sarchi
2:0
Feb 11, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Santa Cruz
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Santa Cruz
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs AD Sarchi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Sarchi Compare

Top Goalscorer Morera P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davila E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Santa Cruz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Sarchi 32 / 100
Santa Cruz 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Sarchi Santa Cruz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

AD Sarchi scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Solid form: AD Sarchi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Sarchi VS Santa Cruz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter San Carlos1493222:1230
2ADR Jicaral1475223:1126
3Quepos Cambute1455418:1720
4Cofutpa1453623:2418
5AD Sarchi1446415:1718
6Dep. Upala1444622:2316
7Santa Cruz1434710:2013
8Grecia1432922:3111
9Municipal Turrialba00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Escorpiones1494131:1831
2Consultants Desamparados1474325:1825
3Cariari Pococi1446425:1818
4Carmelita1446414:1418
5Santa Ana1446416:1718
6CS Uruguay1435615:2414
7Pitbulls1426610:1512
8Aserri1433811:2312
9Limon Black Star00000:00