Sport Picks
AD Tarma vs FC Cajamarca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Unión Tarma, Tarma 
AI Match Summary
AD Tarma host FC Cajamarca in the Liga 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. AD Tarma have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against FC Cajamarca's 1.48 scored and 1.93 conceded. Head-to-head, AD Tarma have won 0 to FC Cajamarca's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.94) point toward FC Cajamarca. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to AD Tarma lately — more wins on the board than FC Cajamarca.
- Model gives FC Cajamarca a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Tarma | FC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Cajamarca has conceded goals in 100% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: AD Tarma scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Difficult form: FC Cajamarca registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
AD Tarma
(Home)FC Cajamarca
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:24 | 8 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:17 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
