Sport Picks
AD Tarma vs Sport Huancayo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Unión Tarma, Tarma 
Match Events
4'
4'
Narvaez J.
8'
8'
Falconi J.
17'
17'
Angeles H.
Assist: Carabano D.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between AD Tarma and Sport Huancayo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Huancayo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
15%
67%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Huancayo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Sport Huancayo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Sport Huancayo a 67% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
AD Tarma Clean Sheet 12%
Sport Huancayo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Tarma | Sport Huancayo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Sport Huancayo
1:3
Jun 26, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Sport Huancayo vs AD Tarma
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs AD Tarma
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Sport Huancayo
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Huancayo vs AD Tarma
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AD Tarma Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Sport Huancayo Compare
Top Goalscorer Angeles H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sanguinetti J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Tarma 10 / 100
Sport Huancayo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Tarma Sport Huancayo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sport Huancayo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sport Huancayo conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Attacking prowess: AD Tarma scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
AD Tarma went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AD Tarma VS Sport Huancayo
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Tarma
(Home) 10 Oct
AD Tarma
0 : 0 FC Cajamarca
01 Oct
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 AD Tarma
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1 Sporting Cristal
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1 Cienciano
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0 AD Tarma
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
AD Tarma
0 : 0 FC Cajamarca
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1 Sporting Cristal
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1 Cienciano
30 Aug
AD Tarma
1 : 3 Sport Huancayo
27 Aug
AD Tarma
2 : 0 Moquegua
Page 1 of 3
Sport Huancayo
(Away) 10 Oct
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
20 Sept
Sport Huancayo
3 : 2 Cajamarca
12 Sept
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1 Sport Boys
30 Aug
AD Tarma
1 : 3 Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
12 Sept
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
30 Aug
AD Tarma
1 : 3 Sport Huancayo
26 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1 Sport Huancayo
16 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1 Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
