Sport Picks
Sporting Cristal vs AD Tarma
Peru
Copa de la Liga Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Copa de la Liga. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Sporting Cristal at 1.62 goals for, 1.28 against; AD Tarma at 1.21 for, 1.46 against. Past meetings favor Sporting Cristal slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 0.88) point toward Sporting Cristal. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sporting Cristal carry the better recent record into this one.
- Sporting Cristal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Sporting Cristal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sporting Cristal, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Cristal | AD Tarma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.
Sporting Cristal's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
AD Tarma let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Sporting Cristal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
