Sport Picks
AD Tarma vs Universitario de Deportes
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Unión Tarma 
AI Match Summary
AD Tarma host Universitario de Deportes in the Liga 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. AD Tarma have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Universitario de Deportes's 0.38 scored and 0.75 conceded. Head-to-head, AD Tarma have won 1 to Universitario de Deportes's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.13 - 0.81) back Universitario de Deportes to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Universitario de Deportes have won more games recently than AD Tarma.
- Model gives AD Tarma a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Universitario de Deportes here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Tarma | Universitario de Deportes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Tarma scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: AD Tarma stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Universitario de Deportes has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Lima | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Alianza Atl. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Sport Boys | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Universitario de Deportes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Cajamarca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Cusco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Los Chankas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Juan Pablo II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |