Sport Picks
AD Tarma vs Universitario de Deportes Prediction & H2H Stats
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Unión Tarma, Tarma 
Match Events
20'
20'
Valera A.
28'
28'
Canela Torres J. J.
30'
30'
Perez L.
AI Match Summary
Universitario de Deportes in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Universitario de Deportes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Universitario de Deportes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Universitario de Deportes have won more games recently than AD Tarma.
- Model gives Universitario de Deportes a 65% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Universitario de Deportes here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
AD Tarma Clean Sheet 10%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Tarma | Universitario de Deportes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Universitario de Deportes
1:2
Feb 1, 2026 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs AD Tarma
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Universitario de Deportes
1:2
Jun 21, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs AD Tarma
5:0
Oct 20, 2024 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs AD Tarma
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AD Tarma Compare
Top Goalscorer Canela Torres J. J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Universitario de Deportes Compare
Top Goalscorer Valera A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alzugaray L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Tarma 10 / 100
Universitario de Deportes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Tarma Universitario de Deportes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Universitario de Deportes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: AD Tarma scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Universitario de Deportes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
AD Tarma has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
AD Tarma VS Universitario de Deportes
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Tarma
(Home) 27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1 Sporting Cristal
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1 Cienciano
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0 AD Tarma
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0 AD Tarma
30 Aug
AD Tarma
1 : 3 Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1 Sporting Cristal
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1 Cienciano
30 Aug
AD Tarma
1 : 3 Sport Huancayo
27 Aug
AD Tarma
2 : 0 Moquegua
15 Aug
AD Tarma
1 : 1 Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 4
Universitario de Deportes
(Away) 19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0 Los Chankas
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4 Universitario de Deportes
16 Aug
FC Cajamarca
2 : 3 Universitario de Deportes
02 Aug
Cienciano
2 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | 7 |
| 15 | Moquegua | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:17 | 7 |
| 16 | Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
