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AD Torrejon vs Carabanchel

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
AD Torrejon Logo

AD Torrejon

1 - 1
FT
Carabanchel Logo

Carabanchel

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Daoud H.
37' Event
Dominguez Sanchez M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
AD Torrejon
15%
Draws
46%
Carabanchel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carabanchel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Torrejon lately — more wins on the board than Carabanchel.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 19%
Carabanchel Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Torrejon Carabanchel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.53 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Carabanchel
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs AD Torrejon
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Carabanchel
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs AD Torrejon
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 Club Friendly
Carabanchel vs AD Torrejon
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Torrejon Compare

Top Goalscorer Daoud H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Carabanchel Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez Sanchez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Torrejon 36 / 100
Carabanchel 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Torrejon Carabanchel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carabanchel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Torrejon scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Carabanchel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: AD Torrejon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Torrejon VS Carabanchel
1.63 Goals Scored 1.29
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Torrejon

(Home)
19 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
3 : 1
AD Torrejon
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
28 Aug
Getafe B
0 : 2
AD Torrejon
24 May
AD Torrejon
0 : 3
CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 6

Carabanchel

(Away)
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2
Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1
Carabanchel
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1
Trival Valderas
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1
Carabanchel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)