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Santa Cruz MT vs Uniao Rondonopolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Santa Cruz MT Logo

Santa Cruz MT

4 - 0
FT
Uniao Rondonopolis Logo

Uniao Rondonopolis

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Santa Cruz MT
15%
Draws
53%
Uniao Rondonopolis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao Rondonopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uniao Rondonopolis come out ahead of Santa Cruz MT on wins alone.
  • Model gives Santa Cruz MT a 32% chance of winning this.
  • Uniao Rondonopolis arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Santa Cruz MT, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Santa Cruz MT Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao Rondonopolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz MT Uniao Rondonopolis
Matches Played 21 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.14 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Santa Cruz MT
1:0
Sep 27, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Santa Cruz MT vs Uniao Rondonopolis
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz MT 58 / 100
Uniao Rondonopolis 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz MT Uniao Rondonopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz MT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Santa Cruz MT scored in 52% of their last 21 outings.

Uniao Rondonopolis has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Santa Cruz MT has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz MT VS Uniao Rondonopolis
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz MT

(Home)
07 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
30 Sept
Chapada
2 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
27 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
4 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
19 Sept
Uirapuru
2 : 3
Santa Cruz MT
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
Page 1 of 5

Uniao Rondonopolis

(Away)
07 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
03 Oct
Uirapuru
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
30 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 0
Uirapuru
27 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
4 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
23 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Chapada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
2 Chapada 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
3 Santa Cruz MT 5 2 0 3 8:7 6
4 Várzea Grande EC 6 2 0 4 10:15 6
5 Uirapuru 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 Sorriso EC 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
3 Cacerense 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
4 Campo Novo 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)