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AD Torrejon vs Mexico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

50'
Cuevas D.
50'
Cuevas D.
89' Event
Hebrero A.

AI Match Summary

AD Torrejon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Torrejon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
AD Torrejon
20%
Draws
29%
Mexico
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Torrejon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Torrejon have won more games recently than Mexico.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on AD Torrejon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 68%
Mexico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Torrejon Mexico
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.7 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Mexico
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Mexico
3:3
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs AD Torrejon
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Mexico
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs AD Torrejon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Torrejon Compare

Top Goalscorer Hebrero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Mexico Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Torrejon 95 / 100
Mexico 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Torrejon Mexico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Torrejon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Torrejon's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mexico has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: AD Torrejon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Torrejon VS Mexico
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Torrejon

(Home)
25 Oct
Pozuelo de Alarcon
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
18 Oct
AD Torrejon
4 : 0
CP Parla Escuela
11 Oct
Siello
1 : 1
AD Torrejon
04 Oct
AD Torrejon
4 : 0
Union Adarve
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 6

Mexico

(Away)
24 Oct
CD Las Rozas
4 : 3
Mexico
17 Oct
Mexico
2 : 2
Real Aranjuez
11 Oct
Pozuelo de Alarcon
4 : 3
Mexico
03 Oct
Mexico
1 : 0
CP Parla Escuela
27 Sept
Siello
3 : 2
Mexico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Mostoles 8 5 2 1 16:5 17
2 CD Las Rozas 8 5 2 1 20:12 17
3 Pozuelo de Alarcon 8 4 3 1 13:13 15
4 Colonia Moscardo 8 3 5 0 17:8 14
5 Galapagar 8 4 2 2 17:14 14
6 Cala Pozuelo 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
7 Union Adarve 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
8 Trival Valderas 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
9 Leganes B 8 3 2 3 15:12 11
10 AD Torrejon 8 3 1 4 11:7 10
11 CF Fuenlabrada 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
12 RC Alcobendas 8 2 2 4 14:17 8
13 Real Aranjuez 8 1 4 3 12:16 7
14 CP Parla Escuela 8 1 4 3 10:15 7
15 San Sebastian Reyes B 8 2 1 5 14:21 7
16 Mexico 8 1 3 4 12:15 6
17 Rayo Vallecano B 8 1 2 5 11:18 5
18 Siello 8 1 1 6 7:24 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)