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AD Torrejon vs Real Aranjuez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
4 - 1
10:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
43' Event
65' Event

AI Match Summary

AD Torrejon host Real Aranjuez in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7. This has AD Torrejon written all over it on paper. Real Aranjuez have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while AD Torrejon have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.81. Past meetings favor AD Torrejon slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 19, 2023, ending 4:2. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.25) point toward AD Torrejon. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
AD Torrejon
35%
Draws
30%
Real Aranjuez
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Torrejon lately — more wins on the board than Real Aranjuez.
  • Win probability leans AD Torrejon's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 19%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Torrejon Real Aranjuez
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 16 3
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.81 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Real Aranjuez
4:2
Oct 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs AD Torrejon
3:0
Feb 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Real Aranjuez
3:1
Sep 22, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs AD Torrejon
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Torrejon 67 / 100
Real Aranjuez 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Torrejon Real Aranjuez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Torrejon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Torrejon's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Real Aranjuez conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

AD Torrejon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AD Torrejon VS Real Aranjuez
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Torrejon

(Home)
25 Oct
Pozuelo de Alarcon
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
18 Oct
AD Torrejon
4 : 0
CP Parla Escuela
11 Oct
Siello
1 : 1
AD Torrejon
04 Oct
AD Torrejon
4 : 0
Union Adarve
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 7

Real Aranjuez

(Away)
24 Oct
Real Aranjuez
0 : 0
CF Fuenlabrada
17 Oct
Mexico
2 : 2
Real Aranjuez
10 Oct
Real Aranjuez
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes B
3 : 5
Real Aranjuez
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Mostoles 8 5 2 1 16:5 17
2 Colonia Moscardo 9 4 5 0 18:8 17
3 CD Las Rozas 8 5 2 1 20:12 17
4 Union Adarve 9 4 4 1 16:11 16
5 Pozuelo de Alarcon 9 4 3 2 14:16 15
6 Galapagar 8 4 2 2 17:14 14
7 Cala Pozuelo 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
8 Trival Valderas 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
9 Leganes B 8 3 2 3 15:12 11
10 AD Torrejon 8 3 1 4 11:7 10
11 CF Fuenlabrada 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
12 RC Alcobendas 8 2 2 4 14:17 8
13 Mexico 9 1 4 4 13:16 7
14 Real Aranjuez 8 1 4 3 12:16 7
15 CP Parla Escuela 8 1 4 3 10:15 7
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 8 2 1 5 14:21 7
17 Rayo Vallecano B 9 1 3 5 12:19 6
18 Siello 8 1 1 6 7:24 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)