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AD Torrejon vs Siello

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Aguilar A.
89' Event
Marcos A.
89' Event
Darko R.

AI Match Summary

AD Torrejon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Torrejon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
AD Torrejon
15%
Draws
57%
Siello
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Torrejon lately — more wins on the board than Siello.
  • Siello are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • AD Torrejon have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 16%
Siello Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Torrejon Siello
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.66 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Siello
3:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs AD Torrejon
2:3
Mar 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Siello
1:2
Nov 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs AD Torrejon
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Torrejon Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguilar A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Siello Compare

Top Goalscorer Darko R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Torrejon 19 / 100
Siello 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Torrejon Siello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siello Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Torrejon's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Siello's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: AD Torrejon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Torrejon VS Siello
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Torrejon

(Home)
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
28 Aug
Getafe B
0 : 2
AD Torrejon
24 May
AD Torrejon
0 : 3
CD Las Rozas
17 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
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Siello

(Away)
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5
Siello
26 Apr
Siello
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
19 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 1
Siello
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)