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AD Torrejon vs Siello

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Aguilar A.
89' Event
Marcos A.
89' Event
Darko R.

AI Match Summary

AD Torrejon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Torrejon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
AD Torrejon
17%
Draws
70%
Siello
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Siello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Torrejon lately — more wins on the board than Siello.
  • Siello are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • AD Torrejon have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 17%
Siello Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Torrejon Siello
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Siello
3:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs AD Torrejon
2:3
Mar 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Siello
1:2
Nov 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs AD Torrejon
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Torrejon Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguilar A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Siello Compare

Top Goalscorer Darko R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Torrejon 15 / 100
Siello 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Torrejon Siello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Torrejon's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Siello's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: AD Torrejon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Torrejon VS Siello
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Torrejon

(Home)
24 May
AD Torrejon
0 : 3
CD Las Rozas
17 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
AD Torrejon
3 : 3
Mexico
Page 1 of 7

Siello

(Away)
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5
Siello
26 Apr
Siello
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
19 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 1
Siello
12 Apr
Siello
2 : 1
CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)