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ADA Jaen vs Pirata

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Victor Montoya Segura, Jaen
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ADA Jaen host Pirata in the Liga 2. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: ADA Jaen at 0.75 goals for, 1.13 against; Pirata at 2 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, ADA Jaen have won 1 to Pirata's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.56, favoring Pirata. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
ADA Jaen
39%
Draws
30%
Pirata
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pirata lately — more wins on the board than ADA Jaen.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
ADA Jaen Clean Sheet 15%
Pirata Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADA Jaen Pirata
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 12 3
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Liga 2
Pirata vs ADA Jaen
0:1
Jun 28, 2025 Liga 2
Pirata vs ADA Jaen
1:1
May 10, 2025 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Pirata
1:2
Jun 22, 2024 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Pirata
1:1
Apr 30, 2024 Liga 2
Pirata vs ADA Jaen
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADA Jaen 31 / 100
Pirata 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADA Jaen Pirata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ADA Jaen found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Pirata has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: ADA Jaen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ADA Jaen VS Pirata
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ADA Jaen

(Home)
12 Jul
Cajamarca
4 : 1
ADA Jaen
20 Jun
Juan Pablo II
0 : 0
ADA Jaen
11 Jun
ADA Jaen
2 : 0
Comerciantes Unidos
31 May
Union Comercio
1 : 0
ADA Jaen
25 May
ADA Jaen
1 : 1
Cesar Vallejo
Page 1 of 6

Pirata

(Away)
10 Jul
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Pirata
22 Jun
Atletico Grau
3 : 2
Pirata
13 Jun
Pirata
2 : 0
Universitario de Deportes
01 Jun
Pirata
3 : 1
Llacuabamba
24 May
Carlos Mannucci
1 : 0
Pirata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llacuabamba961214:419
2Union Comercio85218:217
3Carlos Mannucci952211:717
4Pirata851213:716
5U. San Martin72239:78
6ADA Jaen71425:67
7Cesar Vallejo72146:87
8AD Cantolao81169:184
9San Marcos50051:170
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes FC945012:617
2Alianza Huanuco942312:914
3Tacna Heroica83328:712
4Sport Huancayo 293338:912
5Santos FC83237:811
6Ayacucho92437:810
7Estudiantil CNI82339:99
8Union Minas81523:48
9Binacional81346:126
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)