Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Maciel E.
12'
12'
Morales M.
23'
23'
Rodriguez F.
AI Match Summary
ADA Jaen in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored ADA Jaen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ADA Jaen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pirata lately — more wins on the board than ADA Jaen.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on ADA Jaen taking it.
- Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
ADA Jaen Clean Sheet 15%
Pirata Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | ADA Jaen | Pirata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 14 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Pirata
3:1
Apr 6, 2026 Liga 2
Pirata vs ADA Jaen
0:1
Jun 28, 2025 Liga 2
Pirata vs ADA Jaen
1:1
May 10, 2025 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Pirata
1:2
Jun 22, 2024 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Pirata
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
ADA Jaen Compare
Top Goalscorer Maciel E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rodriguez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Pirata Compare
Top Goalscorer Morales M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
ADA Jaen 66 / 100
Pirata 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
ADA Jaen Pirata
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ADA Jaen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Pirata conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: ADA Jaen scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: ADA Jaen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
ADA Jaen VS Pirata
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
ADA Jaen
(Home) 13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0 Union Comercio
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1 ADA Jaen
16 Aug
U. San Martin
3 : 1 ADA Jaen
08 Aug
ADA Jaen
0 : 0 Llacuabamba
02 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0 ADA Jaen
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0 Union Comercio
08 Aug
ADA Jaen
0 : 0 Llacuabamba
26 Jul
ADA Jaen
3 : 1 Pirata
11 Jun
ADA Jaen
2 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
25 May
ADA Jaen
1 : 1 Cesar Vallejo
Page 1 of 3
Pirata
(Away) 13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0 Pirata
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4 Carlos Mannucci
23 Aug
AD Cantolao
1 : 1 Pirata
17 Aug
Pirata
1 : 2 Union Comercio
09 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
1 : 1 Pirata
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0 Pirata
23 Aug
AD Cantolao
1 : 1 Pirata
09 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
1 : 1 Pirata
26 Jul
ADA Jaen
3 : 1 Pirata
10 Jul
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Pirata
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 16:5 | 29 |
| 2 | Carlos Mannucci | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:12 | 27 |
| 3 | Llacuabamba | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20:10 | 25 |
| 4 | Pirata | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:20 | 22 |
| 5 | U. San Martin | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 6 | ADA Jaen | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 11:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Cesar Vallejo | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11:13 | 16 |
| 8 | AD Cantolao | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16:30 | 11 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:17 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tacna Heroica | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 22:13 | 29 |
| 2 | Comerciantes FC | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:15 | 26 |
| 3 | Union Minas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 22:13 | 25 |
| 5 | Alianza Huanuco | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Santos FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 7 | Ayacucho | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:21 | 19 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 25:21 | 17 |
| 9 | Binacional | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:49 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
