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ADA Jaen vs San Marcos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Victor Montoya Segura, Jaen
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
3 - 0
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ADA Jaen host San Marcos in the Liga 2. This has ADA Jaen written all over it on paper. San Marcos have shipped 2.43 goals a game lately, while ADA Jaen have conceded 0.87 and scored 1.03. Head-to-head, ADA Jaen have won 3 to San Marcos's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.00 - 1.13) back ADA Jaen to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
ADA Jaen
15%
Draws
0%
San Marcos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ADA Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • San Marcos haven't matched ADA Jaen's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans ADA Jaen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
ADA Jaen Clean Sheet 20%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADA Jaen San Marcos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 23
Goals Scored 1.03 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.87 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs San Marcos
3:0
May 17, 2026 Liga 2
San Marcos vs ADA Jaen
0:3
Aug 24, 2025 Liga 2
San Marcos vs ADA Jaen
1:1
Jul 20, 2025 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs San Marcos
0:0
Jun 13, 2025 Liga 2
San Marcos vs ADA Jaen
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADA Jaen 85 / 100
San Marcos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADA Jaen San Marcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADA Jaen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Marcos conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: ADA Jaen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: San Marcos registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: ADA Jaen scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

ADA Jaen VS San Marcos
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ADA Jaen

(Home)
07 Oct
Sport Huancayo 2
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
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San Marcos

(Away)
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
23 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
U. San Martin
16 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
San Marcos
09 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
Carlos Mannucci
02 Aug
Pirata
3 : 0
San Marcos
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)