Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Arteaga A.
53'
53'
Perea M.
57'
57'
Gut O.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: U. San Martin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- U. San Martin have won more games recently than ADA Jaen.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
ADA Jaen Clean Sheet 14%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | ADA Jaen | U. San Martin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 14 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs ADA Jaen
3:1
May 3, 2026 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs U. San Martin
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
ADA Jaen Compare
Top Goalscorer Perea M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
U. San Martin Compare
Top Goalscorer Arteaga A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sanchez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
ADA Jaen 35 / 100
U. San Martin 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
ADA Jaen U. San Martin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick U. San Martin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
ADA Jaen's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: U. San Martin conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
ADA Jaen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
ADA Jaen VS U. San Martin
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
ADA Jaen
(Home) 05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1 ADA Jaen
16 Aug
U. San Martin
3 : 1 ADA Jaen
08 Aug
ADA Jaen
0 : 0 Llacuabamba
02 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0 ADA Jaen
26 Jul
ADA Jaen
3 : 1 Pirata
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
ADA Jaen
0 : 0 Llacuabamba
26 Jul
ADA Jaen
3 : 1 Pirata
11 Jun
ADA Jaen
2 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
25 May
ADA Jaen
1 : 1 Cesar Vallejo
03 May
ADA Jaen
2 : 2 U. San Martin
Page 1 of 3
U. San Martin
(Away) 06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0 U. San Martin
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0 Cesar Vallejo
16 Aug
U. San Martin
3 : 1 ADA Jaen
01 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0 U. San Martin
25 Jul
U. San Martin
2 : 0 Carlos Mannucci
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0 U. San Martin
01 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0 U. San Martin
20 Jul
Pirata
3 : 2 U. San Martin
20 Jun
AD Cantolao
4 : 3 U. San Martin
31 May
AD Cantolao
0 : 4 U. San Martin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 16:4 | 29 |
| 2 | Carlos Mannucci | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:12 | 27 |
| 3 | Llacuabamba | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Pirata | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22:20 | 21 |
| 5 | U. San Martin | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18:15 | 17 |
| 6 | Cesar Vallejo | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11:13 | 16 |
| 7 | ADA Jaen | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 8 | AD Cantolao | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14:28 | 10 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:17 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tacna Heroica | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:12 | 28 |
| 2 | Comerciantes FC | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:15 | 26 |
| 3 | Union Minas | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 23:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20:13 | 22 |
| 5 | Santos FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 6 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 20 |
| 7 | Ayacucho | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:20 | 16 |
| 9 | Binacional | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10:49 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
