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Adama City vs Sheger Ketema FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Adama City host Sheger Ketema FC in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Adama City at 1.03 goals for, 1.24 against; Sheger Ketema FC at 0.86 for, 0.79 against. Head-to-head, Adama City have won 0 to Sheger Ketema FC's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 26, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 0.94) point toward Sheger Ketema FC. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Adama City
20%
Draws
40%
Sheger Ketema FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sheger Ketema FC lately — more wins on the board than Adama City.
  • Adama City are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Adama City Clean Sheet 20%
Sheger Ketema FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adama City Sheger Ketema FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 11 14
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.03 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Premier League
Adama City vs Sheger Ketema FC
3:3
Oct 23, 2025 Premier League
Sheger Ketema FC vs Adama City
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adama City 36 / 100
Sheger Ketema FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adama City Sheger Ketema FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Adama City scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Adama City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Sheger Ketema FC conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Adama City VS Sheger Ketema FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Adama City

(Home)
09 Oct
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 1
Adama City
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3
Adama City
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2
Welayta Dicha
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0
Adama City
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Page 1 of 6

Sheger Ketema FC

(Away)
02 Jul
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 2
Sheger Ketema FC
28 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
2 : 0
Mechal SC
20 Jun
Dire Dawa
2 : 0
Sheger Ketema FC
16 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
0 : 0
Welwalo Adigrat
29 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 1
Sheger Ketema FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adama City 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Halaba Ketema FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 St. Georges 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Hawassa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Mechal SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Ethiopian Insurance 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Sidama Bunna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Welayta Dicha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Fasil Kenema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Bahir Dar Kenema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Hadiya Hossana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Gamo Chencha FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Sheger Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Ethio Electric S.C. 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)