Sport Picks
Adama City vs Welayta Dicha Prediction & H2H Stats
Ethiopia
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
78'
78'
Darza Y.
90'
90'
Damtew C.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Adama City and Welayta Dicha finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Welayta Dicha.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Welayta Dicha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Welayta Dicha come out ahead of Adama City on wins alone.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Adama City Clean Sheet 25%
Welayta Dicha Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Adama City | Welayta Dicha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 15 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 0.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Adama City vs Welayta Dicha
0:2
Jan 30, 2026 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Adama City
1:1
Apr 8, 2025 Premier League
Adama City vs Welayta Dicha
0:0
Dec 10, 2024 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Adama City
2:2
Mar 8, 2024 Premier League
Adama City vs Welayta Dicha
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Adama City Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Welayta Dicha Compare
Top Goalscorer Darza Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Damtew C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Adama City 33 / 100
Welayta Dicha 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Adama City Welayta Dicha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Welayta Dicha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Adama City found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Adama City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Welayta Dicha conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Adama City VS Welayta Dicha
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Adama City
(Home) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Adama City
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 May
Sidama Bunna
1 : 0 Adama City
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
21 May
Adama City
0 : 0 Welwalo Adigrat
09 May
Adama City
4 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
29 Apr
Adama City
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
Page 1 of 3
Welayta Dicha
(Away) 03 Jul
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2 Ethio Electric S.C.
16 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
16 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
19 May
Ethiopian Insurance
0 : 0 Welayta Dicha
10 May
Arba Menche
2 : 3 Welayta Dicha
29 Apr
Sheger Ketema FC
0 : 0 Welayta Dicha
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
