Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Adama City vs Welayta Dicha

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Darza Y.
90' Event
Damtew C.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Adama City and Welayta Dicha finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Welayta Dicha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Adama City
39%
Draws
30%
Welayta Dicha
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Welayta Dicha come out ahead of Adama City on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Adama City Clean Sheet 25%
Welayta Dicha Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adama City Welayta Dicha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 12 15
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Adama City vs Welayta Dicha
0:2
Jan 30, 2026 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Adama City
1:1
Apr 8, 2025 Premier League
Adama City vs Welayta Dicha
0:0
Dec 10, 2024 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Adama City
2:2
Mar 8, 2024 Premier League
Adama City vs Welayta Dicha
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adama City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Welayta Dicha Compare

Top Goalscorer Darza Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Damtew C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adama City 33 / 100
Welayta Dicha 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adama City Welayta Dicha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adama City found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Adama City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Welayta Dicha conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Adama City VS Welayta Dicha
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Adama City

(Home)
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3
Adama City
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2
Welayta Dicha
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0
Adama City
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 May
Sidama Bunna
1 : 0
Adama City
Page 1 of 6

Welayta Dicha

(Away)
03 Jul
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2
Welayta Dicha
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2
Ethio Electric S.C.
16 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 2
Welayta Dicha
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)