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Adamawa Utd vs Police Machine

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2022/2023 Pantami Stadium, Gombe
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NNL 2022/2023 game between Adamawa Utd and Police Machine finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adamawa Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Adamawa Utd
15%
Draws
26%
Police Machine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adamawa Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Adamawa Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Adamawa Utd's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Adamawa Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Police Machine Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adamawa Utd Police Machine
Matches Played 35 6
Wins 15 1
Draws 3 2
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 0.97 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 NNL
Adamawa Utd vs Police Machine
2:1
Mar 24, 2023 NNL
Police Machine vs Adamawa Utd
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adamawa Utd 40 / 100
Police Machine 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adamawa Utd Police Machine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adamawa Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Adamawa Utd scored in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Adamawa Utd stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Police Machine's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Adamawa Utd VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Adamawa Utd

(Home)
06 Jun
Sokoto United
2 : 0
Adamawa Utd
01 Jun
De Sapele Lion
0 : 1
Adamawa Utd
25 Mar
Adamawa Utd
2 : 0
Gombe
13 Mar
Kebbi
2 : 1
Adamawa Utd
07 Mar
Adamawa Utd
1 : 0
Bichi First
Page 1 of 7

Police Machine

(Away)
10 Jun
DMD
1 : 0
Police Machine
07 May
Adamawa Utd
2 : 1
Police Machine
29 Apr
Police Machine
1 : 0
Yobe Stars
08 Apr
Yobe Stars
1 : 0
Police Machine
24 Mar
Police Machine
0 : 0
Adamawa Utd
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EFCC FC 10 6 1 3 12:7 19
2 Mighty Jets 10 6 0 4 7:7 18
3 Hypebuzz 10 4 2 4 13:8 14
4 Mailantarki Care 10 4 2 4 8:6 14
5 Abubakar Bukola Saraki 10 4 0 6 7:11 12
6 Kogi United 10 2 3 5 5:13 9
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Katsina Utd 10 6 3 1 14:6 21
2 City FC Abuja 10 5 1 4 7:10 16
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 10 4 3 3 11:8 15
4 Nigeria Airforce FC 10 2 5 3 7:8 11
5 FWC Champions 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
6 Green Beret 10 1 4 5 9:14 7
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 One Rocket 10 6 2 2 17:10 20
2 Warri Wolves 10 5 3 2 10:8 18
3 Rovers FC 10 4 4 2 8:7 16
4 Vandrezzer 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
5 Henserd 10 3 1 6 13:15 10
6 Go Round 10 1 3 6 4:12 6
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Lagos 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
2 Ijebu 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
3 Crown FC 10 4 3 3 9:8 15
4 Gateway United 10 3 2 5 5:8 11
5 Smart City 10 4 1 5 7:13 10
6 Joy Cometh 10 2 2 6 9:15 8
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kano Pillars 8 6 1 1 14:3 19
2 Kebbi 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
3 Malumfashi 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Sokoto United 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
5 Zamfara United 8 0 2 6 2:17 2
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 DMD 6 3 2 1 3:1 11
2 Yobe Stars 6 3 1 2 1:2 7
3 Adamawa Utd 6 2 1 3 3:5 7
4 Police Machine 6 1 2 3 2:4 5
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abeokuta 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
2 Ekiti United 8 5 1 2 12:9 16
3 Madiba 8 4 2 2 16:7 14
4 Ikorodu United 8 2 0 6 8:14 6
5 Ebedei 8 1 1 6 5:20 4
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heartland FC 10 6 4 0 10:4 22
2 Giant Brillars 10 4 3 3 10:8 15
3 Cynosure 10 4 2 4 14:8 14
4 Abia Comets 10 3 4 3 6:5 13
5 Edel FC 10 3 2 5 7:13 11
6 Ibom Youths 10 1 3 6 6:15 6
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)