Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Adamawa Utd vs Ranchers Bees

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL Pantami Stadium, Gombe
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NNL game between Adamawa Utd and Ranchers Bees finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adamawa Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Adamawa Utd
15%
Draws
34%
Ranchers Bees
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adamawa Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Adamawa Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Adamawa Utd a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Adamawa Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Ranchers Bees Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adamawa Utd Ranchers Bees
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 2 3
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.03 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 NNL
Adamawa Utd vs Ranchers Bees
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 NNL
Ranchers Bees vs Adamawa Utd
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adamawa Utd 36 / 100
Ranchers Bees 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adamawa Utd Ranchers Bees

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adamawa Utd scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ranchers Bees conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Adamawa Utd has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ranchers Bees lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adamawa Utd VS Ranchers Bees
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Adamawa Utd

(Home)
06 Jun
Sokoto United
2 : 0
Adamawa Utd
01 Jun
De Sapele Lion
0 : 1
Adamawa Utd
25 Mar
Adamawa Utd
2 : 0
Gombe
13 Mar
Kebbi
2 : 1
Adamawa Utd
07 Mar
Adamawa Utd
1 : 0
Bichi First
Page 1 of 6

Ranchers Bees

(Away)
07 Sept
Ranchers Bees
4 : 0
Abia Warriors
30 Aug
Ikorodu City
3 : 1
Ranchers Bees
08 May
Doma United
1 : 3
Ranchers Bees
06 May
Ranchers Bees
0 : 2
Inter Lagos
04 May
Sporting Lagos
1 : 0
Ranchers Bees
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Lagos 16 8 5 3 26:13 29
2 Beyond Limits FC 16 7 7 2 23:13 28
3 Heartland FC 16 8 3 5 21:17 27
4 Smart City 16 8 3 5 21:19 27
5 Sunshine Stars 16 7 4 5 18:14 25
6 Edel FC 16 6 2 8 14:20 20
7 Crown FC 16 4 4 8 18:19 16
8 Abia Comets 16 4 3 9 16:31 15
9 Gateway United 16 3 3 10 13:24 12
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Lagos 18 11 3 4 31:14 36
2 Akwa United 18 11 2 5 23:13 35
3 Ekiti United 18 10 0 8 21:17 30
4 Stormers 18 8 2 8 24:26 26
5 Abakaliki 18 7 4 7 19:17 25
6 Solution 18 8 1 9 18:22 25
7 Godswill Akpabio 18 6 6 6 27:24 24
8 Rovers FC 18 7 1 10 15:21 22
9 Osun United 18 6 2 10 16:24 20
10 First Bank 18 4 3 11 15:31 15
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doma United 14 8 2 4 18:11 26
2 Lobi 14 7 2 5 12:10 23
3 Basira 14 6 3 5 17:14 21
4 Kada Warriors 14 5 5 4 11:9 20
5 Sokoto United 14 5 3 6 9:11 18
6 ABS 14 5 2 7 10:16 17
7 Mighty Jets 14 5 1 8 14:16 16
8 City FC Abuja 14 4 4 6 10:14 16
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ranchers Bees 12 6 2 4 11:9 20
2 Adamawa Utd 12 6 0 6 12:11 18
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 5 3 4 12:15 18
4 Yobe Stars 12 5 2 5 14:13 17
5 Kebbi 12 5 1 6 11:11 16
6 Bichi First 12 4 3 5 11:9 15
7 Gombe 12 4 3 5 8:11 15
8 Sporting Supreme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)