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Adamawa Utd vs Yobe Stars

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2024/2025 Pantami Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Adamawa Utd play Yobe Stars in the NNL 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Adamawa Utd averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Yobe Stars averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Adamawa Utd won 2, Yobe Stars won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 14, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Adamawa Utd and 1.13 for Yobe Stars. This points to a Yobe Stars double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Adamawa Utd
15%
Draws
46%
Yobe Stars
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yobe Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Adamawa Utd picked up more points recently compared to Yobe Stars.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Adamawa Utd Clean Sheet 21%
Yobe Stars Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adamawa Utd Yobe Stars
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 NNL
Yobe Stars vs Adamawa Utd
3:1
Dec 20, 2025 NNL
Adamawa Utd vs Yobe Stars
2:1
May 10, 2025 NNL
Adamawa Utd vs Yobe Stars
3:0
Dec 14, 2024 NNL
Yobe Stars vs Adamawa Utd
2:0
Jun 10, 2023 NNL
Yobe Stars vs Adamawa Utd
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adamawa Utd 39 / 100
Yobe Stars 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adamawa Utd Yobe Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Yobe Stars or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Adamawa Utd attacking → ← attacking Yobe Stars

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adamawa Utd scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Yobe Stars let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Adamawa Utd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Yobe Stars lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 45
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

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