Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Adamawa Utd vs Yobe Stars

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2024/2025 Pantami Stadium, Gombe
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NNL 2024/2025 game between Adamawa Utd and Yobe Stars finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adamawa Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Adamawa Utd
20%
Draws
38%
Yobe Stars
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Adamawa Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Yobe Stars carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Yobe Stars a 38% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Adamawa Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Yobe Stars Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adamawa Utd Yobe Stars
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 NNL
Yobe Stars vs Adamawa Utd
3:1
Dec 20, 2025 NNL
Adamawa Utd vs Yobe Stars
2:1
May 10, 2025 NNL
Adamawa Utd vs Yobe Stars
3:0
Dec 14, 2024 NNL
Yobe Stars vs Adamawa Utd
2:0
Jun 10, 2023 NNL
Yobe Stars vs Adamawa Utd
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adamawa Utd 28 / 100
Yobe Stars 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adamawa Utd Yobe Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yobe Stars Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adamawa Utd scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Yobe Stars conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Adamawa Utd has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Adamawa Utd VS Yobe Stars
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Adamawa Utd

(Home)
06 Jun
Sokoto United
2 : 0
Adamawa Utd
01 Jun
De Sapele Lion
0 : 1
Adamawa Utd
25 Mar
Adamawa Utd
2 : 0
Gombe
13 Mar
Kebbi
2 : 1
Adamawa Utd
07 Mar
Adamawa Utd
1 : 0
Bichi First
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Yobe Stars

(Away)
22 Apr
Yobe Stars
1 : 1
Bichi First
14 Mar
Yobe Stars
3 : 0
Jigawa Golden Stars
08 Mar
Gombe
1 : 1
Yobe Stars
28 Feb
Yobe Stars
1 : 0
Ranchers Bees
20 Feb
Kebbi
1 : 0
Yobe Stars
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Warri Wolves 18 11 6 1 27:11 39
2 Crown FC 18 11 3 4 17:13 36
3 Inter Lagos 18 8 6 4 24:11 30
4 Smart City 18 7 7 4 20:17 28
5 Beyond Limits FC 18 6 6 6 30:23 24
6 Abia Comets 18 5 8 5 17:14 23
7 Edel FC 18 6 3 9 19:20 21
8 Dakkada FC 18 3 9 6 22:27 18
9 Ijele 18 4 3 11 17:33 15
10 Igbajo 18 2 3 13 7:31 9
11 1472 FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kun Khalifa 20 10 7 3 21:13 37
2 Osun United 20 11 3 6 21:13 36
3 Sporting Lagos 20 9 5 6 27:16 32
4 Rovers FC 20 9 4 7 23:21 31
5 Solution 20 8 5 7 27:24 29
6 ABS 20 8 2 10 18:23 26
7 Godswill Akpabio 20 6 6 8 22:19 24
8 First Bank 20 7 3 10 17:26 24
9 Abakaliki 20 6 5 9 17:20 23
10 Madiba 20 7 2 11 25:33 23
11 Gateway United 20 6 4 10 21:31 22
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wikki Tourists 12 7 2 3 21:10 23
2 Barau 12 5 4 3 14:10 19
3 Gombe 12 6 0 6 13:11 18
4 Sokoto United 12 5 1 6 8:9 16
5 Mighty Jets 12 4 3 5 9:12 15
6 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 4 2 6 11:16 14
7 Zamfara United 12 4 2 6 10:18 14
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yobe Stars 12 6 2 4 16:11 20
2 Doma United 12 5 4 3 14:11 19
3 Kebbi 12 5 3 4 18:14 18
4 Basira 12 4 4 4 13:14 16
5 Sporting Supreme 12 5 1 6 13:17 16
6 Kada Warriors 12 4 3 5 12:16 15
7 Adamawa Utd 12 4 1 7 15:18 13
Promotion - NNL 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)