Sport Picks
Adamstown Rosebud vs Newcastle Olympic
Australia
NPL Northern NSW Adamstown Oval, Newcastle 
Match Events
14'
14'
Gismero N.
30'
30'
Muller J.
30'
30'
Muller J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Northern NSW game between Adamstown Rosebud and Newcastle Olympic finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adamstown Rosebud.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Newcastle Olympic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Adamstown Rosebud haven't matched Newcastle Olympic's recent run of results.
- Model gives Newcastle Olympic a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Adamstown Rosebud Clean Sheet 10%
Newcastle Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Adamstown Rosebud | Newcastle Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Newcastle Olympic
2:0
Apr 1, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Adamstown Rosebud
2:2
Jul 12, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Newcastle Olympic
0:0
Apr 11, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Adamstown Rosebud
4:0
Aug 10, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Newcastle Olympic
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Adamstown Rosebud Compare
Top Goalscorer Gismero N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Soper K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Newcastle Olympic Compare
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Adamstown Rosebud 10 / 100
Newcastle Olympic 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Adamstown Rosebud Newcastle Olympic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Olympic has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Adamstown Rosebud scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Adamstown Rosebud has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Adamstown Rosebud VS Newcastle Olympic
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Adamstown Rosebud
(Home) 11 Jul
Maitland
3 : 1 Adamstown Rosebud
27 Jun
Edgeworth Eagles FC
3 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
24 Jun
Kahibah
1 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
20 Jun
Lambton Jaffas FC
1 : 1 Adamstown Rosebud
13 Jun
Adamstown Rosebud
1 : 5 Broadmeadow Magic FC
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13 Jun
Adamstown Rosebud
1 : 5 Broadmeadow Magic FC
30 May
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
16 May
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
09 May
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
29 Apr
Adamstown Rosebud
1 : 2 Lambton Jaffas FC
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Newcastle Olympic
(Away) 22 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
5 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
12 Jul
Broadmeadow Magic FC
2 : 1 Newcastle Olympic
01 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
7 : 1 Charlestown Azzurri
27 Jun
Newcastle Olympic
0 : 0 Cooks Hill United
21 Jun
Maitland
1 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
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12 Jul
Broadmeadow Magic FC
2 : 1 Newcastle Olympic
21 Jun
Maitland
1 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
30 May
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
02 May
Valentine
1 : 6 Newcastle Olympic
19 Apr
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 2 Newcastle Olympic
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic FC | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 50:22 | 43 |
| 2 | Weston Workers Bears | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 44:31 | 36 |
| 3 | Maitland | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 34:29 | 33 |
| 4 | Belmont Swansea United | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 42:35 | 32 |
| 5 | Cooks Hill United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 37:31 | 29 |
| 6 | Edgeworth Eagles FC | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 34:29 | 29 |
| 7 | Lambton Jaffas FC | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 35:31 | 22 |
| 8 | Valentine | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19:36 | 22 |
| 9 | Newcastle Olympic | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 38:34 | 21 |
| 10 | Adamstown Rosebud | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25:36 | 17 |
| 11 | Kahibah | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 28:46 | 14 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24:50 | 14 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)