Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Adana 01 vs Siirt Ozel

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This 3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024 encounter between Adana 01 and Siirt Ozel promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Adana 01 averages 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in recent matches. Siirt Ozel shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Adana 01, 0 wins for Siirt Ozel, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 18.02.24 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.29 for Adana 01 and 0.69 for Siirt Ozel, suggesting the primary value lies in the Adana 01 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Adana 01
23%
Draws
22%
Siirt Ozel
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Adana 01

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Adana 01 picked up more points recently compared to Siirt Ozel.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Adana 01 Clean Sheet 28%
Siirt Ozel Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adana 01 Siirt Ozel
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 20 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.71 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

18.02.24 3. Lig Group 4
Adana 01 vs Siirt Ozel
2:0
08.10.23 3. Lig Group 4
Siirt Ozel vs Adana 01
0:3

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Adana 01

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Siirt Ozel

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adana 01 Compare

Top Goalscorer Koca I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Siirt Ozel Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A
0 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adana 01 55 / 100
Siirt Ozel 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adana 01 Siirt Ozel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adana 01 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Adana 01 & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Adana 01 is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Adana 01 61%
Siirt Ozel 18%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Siirt Ozel will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Adana 01's attacks.

Adana 01 52%
Siirt Ozel 23%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Adana 01 to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Adana 01 55%
Siirt Ozel 22%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Adana 01 vary their attacking width.

Adana 01 58%
Siirt Ozel 21%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Siirt Ozel, allowing Adana 01's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Adana 01 50%
Siirt Ozel 24%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Adana 01, while Siirt Ozel takes risks to salvage a result.

Adana 01 63%
Siirt Ozel 25%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Adana 01 attacking → ← attacking Siirt Ozel

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adana 01 have found the net in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Siirt Ozel have conceded at least one goal in 77% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.50 goals per match.

Adana 01 remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Siirt Ozel suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 32
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Adana 0128203560:2763
2Sebat Spor Kulubu28155842:2750
3Musspor281211541:2947
4Tokat Bld Plevnespor28129732:2745
5Alanya 1221281110742:3343
6Bursa Yildirimspor28119839:3442
7Orduspor 196728118949:3341
8Balikesirspor28712928:3233
9Izmir Coruhlu28871334:3931
10Cankaya FK28613926:3731
1123 Elazig FK28871325:4231
12Nevsehir28861419:3130
13Siirt Ozel28781321:3229
14Catalca Spor285111227:3826
15Sultanbeyli28671526:5025