Sport Picks
AV Alta FC vs Charlotte Independence
USA
USL League One Lancaster Municipal Stadium, Lancaster, CA 
Match Events
21'
21'
Bakero J.
(Penalty)
36'
36'
Ortiz C.
46'
46'
Sub
Aoumaich I. In: Desdunes J.
Out: Aoumaich I.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between AV Alta FC and Charlotte Independence finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Charlotte Independence
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Charlotte Independence come out ahead of AV Alta FC on wins alone.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Charlotte Independence taking it.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 12%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AV Alta FC | Charlotte Independence |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 6, 2026 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Charlotte Independence
1:1
Oct 10, 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs AV Alta FC
3:2
May 25, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Charlotte Independence
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AV Alta FC 22 / 100
Charlotte Independence 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AV Alta FC Charlotte Independence
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Charlotte Independence's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.33 goals.
AV Alta FC found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
AV Alta FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AV Alta FC VS Charlotte Independence
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
AV Alta FC
(Home) 18 Jul
One Knoxville
2 : 3 AV Alta FC
15 Jul
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
12 Jul
AV Alta FC
2 : 1 Phoenix Rising
06 Jul
AV Alta FC
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
02 Jul
Union Omaha
3 : 1 AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
AV Alta FC
2 : 1 Phoenix Rising
06 Jul
AV Alta FC
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
14 Jun
AV Alta FC
1 : 0 Spokane Velocity
11 Jun
AV Alta FC
3 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
07 Jun
AV Alta FC
2 : 1 Orange County SC
Page 1 of 4
Charlotte Independence
(Away) 18 Jul
Charlotte Independence
2 : 4 Chattanooga Red Wolves
11 Jul
Charleston
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
06 Jul
AV Alta FC
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
01 Jul
Charlotte Independence
2 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
24 Jun
Charlotte Independence
1 : 0 Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Charleston
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
06 Jul
AV Alta FC
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
03 Jun
FC Naples
1 : 5 Charlotte Independence
30 May
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
10 May
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 3 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | One Knoxville | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 30:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 27:20 | 32 |
| 3 | Charlotte Independence | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:22 | 30 |
| 4 | AV Alta FC | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26:21 | 28 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25:24 | 27 |
| 6 | Fort Wayne | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24:14 | 27 |
| 7 | Forward Madison | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 8 | Spokane Velocity | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:21 | 26 |
| 9 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 10 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 25:26 | 20 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20:26 | 19 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17:28 | 18 |
| 13 | FC Naples | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18:27 | 17 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 25:25 | 15 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14:24 | 14 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12:30 | 12 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17:33 | 11 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)