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Adanademirspor vs Serik Spor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Yeni Adana Stadyumu, Adana
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Martynov A.
Assist: Nalepa M.
15' Event
Nwachukwu C.
Assist: Martynov A.
38' Event
Altiparmak G.
Assist: Adeola R.

AI Match Summary

Serik Spor in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serik Spor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Adanademirspor
6%
Draws
90%
Serik Spor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Serik Spor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Serik Spor lately — more wins on the board than Adanademirspor.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Serik Spor taking it.
  • Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Serik Spor have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Adanademirspor Clean Sheet 10%
Serik Spor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adanademirspor Serik Spor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 27 20
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 4.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 1. Lig
Adanademirspor vs Serik Spor
1:4
Nov 1, 2025 1. Lig
Serik Spor vs Adanademirspor
4:0
Nov 30, 2021 Turkish Cup
Adanademirspor vs Serik Spor
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adanademirspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kucuk K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Serik Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Martynov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nwachukwu C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adanademirspor 10 / 100
Serik Spor 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adanademirspor Serik Spor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serik Spor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Away concern: Serik Spor has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Adanademirspor scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Adanademirspor VS Serik Spor
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
4.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Adanademirspor

(Home)
01 May
Istanbulspor AS
8 : 1
Adanademirspor
25 Apr
Adanademirspor
1 : 3
Umraniyespor
19 Apr
Boluspor
6 : 0
Adanademirspor
12 Apr
Adanademirspor
1 : 6
Igdir FK
07 Apr
Hatayspor
4 : 0
Adanademirspor
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Serik Spor

(Away)
01 May
Boluspor
3 : 1
Serik Spor
25 Apr
Serik Spor
4 : 2
Hatayspor
19 Apr
Manisa FK
1 : 0
Serik Spor
12 Apr
Keciorengucu
0 : 0
Serik Spor
08 Apr
Serik Spor
1 : 6
Vanspor FK
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
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