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Adanaspor AS vs Nigde

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Koca I.
43' Event
Koca I.
Assist: Oztas E.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 game between Adanaspor AS and Nigde finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nigde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Adanaspor AS
15%
Draws
64%
Nigde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nigde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Nigde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Nigde taking it.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Adanaspor AS Clean Sheet 10%
Nigde Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adanaspor AS Nigde
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 3 10
Draws 1 6
Losses 24 12
Goals Scored 0.46 1.46
Goals Conceded 4.18 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Adanaspor AS vs Nigde
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adanaspor AS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Nigde Compare

Top Goalscorer Koca I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adanaspor AS 10 / 100
Nigde 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adanaspor AS Nigde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nigde let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Adanaspor AS scored in 30% of their last 27 games.

Adanaspor AS has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Adanaspor AS VS Nigde
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Adanaspor AS

(Home)
20 Sept
Adanaspor AS
1 : 3
Karakopru
16 Sept
Adanaspor AS
:
Yeni Malatyaspor
12 Sept
Adana Adaletgucu
5 : 1
Adanaspor AS
06 Sept
Adanaspor AS
0 : 2
Nigde
25 Apr
Musspor
6 : 0
Adanaspor AS
Page 1 of 6

Nigde

(Away)
20 Sept
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Nigde
12 Sept
Nigde
3 : 1
Yozgat
06 Sept
Adanaspor AS
0 : 2
Nigde
18 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 2
Nigde
12 Apr
Nigde
0 : 1
Mazidagi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigde 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Bitlis 1916 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
3 Karakopru 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
4 Malatya 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
5 Mazidagi 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
6 Erciyes 38 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
7 Adana Adaletgucu 4 2 0 2 10:5 6
8 Kirsehir SK 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
9 Silifke 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
10 Osmaniyespor 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
11 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
12 Karaman FK 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Yozgat 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Agri 1970 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
15 Kirikkale FK 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
17 Adanaspor AS 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 4 0 0 4 0:12 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)