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Adanaspor AS vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Adanaspor AS host Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu in the 3. Lig Group 3. Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Adanaspor AS at 0.37 goals for, 4.41 against; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu at 1 for, 2.57 against. Head-to-head, Adanaspor AS have won 0 to Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 2.38, favoring Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Adanaspor AS
15%
Draws
68%
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have won more games recently than Adanaspor AS.
  • Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Adanaspor AS Clean Sheet 10%
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adanaspor AS Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 2 7
Draws 0 1
Losses 25 20
Goals Scored 0.37 1
Goals Conceded 4.41 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Adanaspor AS
0:0
Dec 13, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Adanaspor AS vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adanaspor AS 10 / 100
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adanaspor AS Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Adanaspor AS found the back of the net in 27% of recent matches (26 games).

Recent resilience: Adanaspor AS stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adanaspor AS VS Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
3.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Adanaspor AS

(Home)
07 Oct
Adanaspor AS
0 : 2
Adana Adaletgucu
03 Oct
Adanaspor AS
1 : 2
Mazidagi
27 Sept
Malatya
8 : 0
Adanaspor AS
20 Sept
Adanaspor AS
1 : 3
Karakopru
16 Sept
Adanaspor AS
:
Yeni Malatyaspor
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Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

(Away)
07 Oct
Osmaniyespor
0 : 3
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
03 Oct
Kirikkale FK
3 : 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
27 Sept
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
2 : 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
20 Sept
Agri 1970
0 : 1
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
16 Sept
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
5 : 1
Bucak Belediyesi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malatya 6 6 0 0 25:2 18
2 Nigde 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
3 Karakopru 5 5 0 0 13:3 15
4 Mazidagi 5 4 1 0 12:3 13
5 Erciyes 38 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
6 Kirsehir SK 5 4 0 1 19:4 12
7 Bitlis 1916 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
8 Agri 1970 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
9 Adana Adaletgucu 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
10 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
11 Kirikkale FK 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
12 Silifke 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
13 Osmaniyespor 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
14 Karaman FK 5 1 0 4 4:14 3
15 Yozgat 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
17 Adanaspor AS 5 0 0 5 3:20 0
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 6 0 0 6 0:18 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)