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Adelaide Atletico vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Adelaide Atletico play Adelaide Croatia Raiders in the SA State League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Adelaide Atletico averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. Adelaide Croatia Raiders averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. In past meetings, Adelaide Atletico won 1, Adelaide Croatia Raiders won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Adelaide Atletico and 2.13 for Adelaide Croatia Raiders. This points to a Adelaide Croatia Raiders double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Adelaide Atletico
15%
Draws
48%
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Adelaide Atletico picked up more points recently compared to Adelaide Croatia Raiders.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Adelaide Atletico Clean Sheet 10%
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Atletico Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.45 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
1:3
Mar 20, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Adelaide Atletico
5:0
Jul 8, 2023 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
0:1
Apr 21, 2023 SA State League
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Adelaide Atletico
2:3
May 28, 2022 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Atletico Compare

Top Goalscorer Maio M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Compare

Top Goalscorer King-Byrne J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zganec J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Atletico 35 / 100
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Atletico Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Adelaide Croatia Raiders or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Adelaide Atletico attacking → ← attacking Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Atletico scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Adelaide Croatia Raiders let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Adelaide Atletico went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Adelaide Croatia Raiders lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 44
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders17111546:2334
2Fulham United17103437:2433
3Adelaide Olympic17101632:2331
4Adelaide Atletico1793533:2430
5Modbury Jets1685330:1329
6Blue Eagles1683528:2427
7Cumberland United1781829:2325
8The Cove FC1774624:2425
9Eastern United1744918:3316
10Adelaide Cobras17511121:3716
11Salisbury United17321219:3911
12South Adelaide17321217:4711