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Adelaide Atletico vs Salisbury United

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Francesca D.
90' Event
Allison E.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between Adelaide Atletico and Salisbury United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adelaide Atletico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Adelaide Atletico
15%
Draws
42%
Salisbury United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide Atletico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Adelaide Atletico carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Salisbury United a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Adelaide Atletico Clean Sheet 16%
Salisbury United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Atletico Salisbury United
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.48 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Salisbury United
2:0
May 9, 2026 SA State League
Salisbury United vs Adelaide Atletico
1:2
Jun 15, 2024 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Salisbury United
2:4
Mar 23, 2024 SA State League
Salisbury United vs Adelaide Atletico
3:0
Jul 6, 2019 SA State League
Salisbury United vs Adelaide Atletico
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Atletico Compare

Top Goalscorer Francesca D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allison E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Salisbury United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Atletico 28 / 100
Salisbury United 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Atletico Salisbury United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salisbury United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Salisbury United conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Adelaide Atletico found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Away concern: Salisbury United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Atletico VS Salisbury United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Atletico

(Home)
21 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
3 : 1
Adelaide Atletico
15 Aug
South Adelaide
1 : 3
Adelaide Atletico
08 Aug
Eastern United
4 : 2
Adelaide Atletico
01 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 0
Salisbury United
25 Jul
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Atletico
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Salisbury United

(Away)
15 Aug
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 2
Salisbury United
06 Aug
Salisbury United
2 : 3
South Adelaide
01 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 0
Salisbury United
24 Jul
Eastern United
0 : 3
Salisbury United
18 Jul
Salisbury United
2 : 3
Modbury Jets
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)