Sport Picks
Adelaide City vs Croydon
Australia
NPL South Australia Adelaide City Park, Adelaide 
Match Events
7'
7'
Kitano Y.
46'
46'
Lawrie-Lattanzio L.
56'
56'
Trimboli O.
AI Match Summary
The NPL South Australia game between Adelaide City and Croydon finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
71%
20%
9%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Adelaide City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Adelaide City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Adelaide City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Adelaide City Clean Sheet 17%
Croydon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Adelaide City | Croydon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 3 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.43 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide City vs Croydon
2:2
Mar 7, 2026 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs Adelaide City
0:4
Sep 6, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide City vs Croydon
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs Adelaide City
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs Adelaide City
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Adelaide City Compare
Top Goalscorer Kitano Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lawrie-Lattanzio L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Croydon Compare
Top Goalscorer Trimboli O.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Adelaide City 84 / 100
Croydon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Adelaide City Croydon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Adelaide City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Adelaide City's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Croydon has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Adelaide City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Adelaide City VS Croydon
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Adelaide City
(Home) 11 Sept
Adelaide City
3 : 2 West Torrens Birkalla
05 Sept
Adelaide City
6 : 0 Playford Patriots
29 Aug
Playford Patriots
1 : 2 Adelaide City
15 Aug
FK Beograd
0 : 3 Adelaide City
07 Aug
Adelaide City
1 : 0 Playford Patriots
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Adelaide City
3 : 2 West Torrens Birkalla
05 Sept
Adelaide City
6 : 0 Playford Patriots
07 Aug
Adelaide City
1 : 0 Playford Patriots
25 Jul
Adelaide City
1 : 0 West Torrens Birkalla
18 Jul
Adelaide City
2 : 2 Croydon
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Croydon
(Away) 22 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0 Croydon
15 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0 Croydon
08 Aug
Croydon
1 : 1 Sturt Lions FC
01 Aug
FK Beograd
4 : 3 Croydon
25 Jul
Croydon
2 : 2 Campbelltown City
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0 Croydon
15 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0 Croydon
01 Aug
FK Beograd
4 : 3 Croydon
18 Jul
Adelaide City
2 : 2 Croydon
03 Jul
Adelaide Comets
1 : 4 Croydon
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide City | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 44:16 | 48 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 54:29 | 45 |
| 3 | MetroStars | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 53:23 | 44 |
| 4 | Playford Patriots | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 42:31 | 35 |
| 5 | FK Beograd | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 35:30 | 33 |
| 6 | Croydon | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 46:41 | 30 |
| 7 | Adelaide Utd U23 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 33:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Campbelltown City | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 35:36 | 29 |
| 9 | Sturt Lions FC | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 35:36 | 27 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 40:44 | 25 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 25:38 | 20 |
| 12 | Para | 22 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16:102 | 2 |
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)
