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Adelaide Cobras vs The Cove FC

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Altundag S.
48' Event
Bontor T.
56' Event
Quici A.

AI Match Summary

Adelaide Cobras play The Cove FC in the SA State League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Adelaide Cobras averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. The Cove FC averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Adelaide Cobras won 2, The Cove FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Adelaide Cobras and 1.81 for The Cove FC. This points to a The Cove FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Adelaide Cobras
6%
Draws
90%
The Cove FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: The Cove FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • The Cove FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Adelaide Cobras.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for The Cove FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in SA State League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Adelaide Cobras Clean Sheet 11%
The Cove FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Cobras The Cove FC
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs The Cove FC
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs The Cove FC
2:0
May 24, 2025 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Adelaide Cobras
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Cobras Compare

Top Goalscorer Quici A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

The Cove FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Altundag S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bontor T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Cobras 10 / 100
The Cove FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Cobras The Cove FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Cobras scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

The Cove FC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Adelaide Cobras went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

The Cove FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Cobras VS The Cove FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders17111546:2334
2Fulham United17103437:2433
3Adelaide Olympic17101632:2331
4Adelaide Atletico1793533:2430
5Blue Eagles1793531:2530
6Modbury Jets1785431:1629
7Cumberland United1781829:2325
8The Cove FC1774624:2425
9Eastern United1744918:3316
10Adelaide Cobras17511121:3716
11Salisbury United17321219:3911
12South Adelaide17321217:4711