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Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide City

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Ellis Park
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Caraccia P.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between Adelaide Comets and Adelaide City finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adelaide City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Adelaide Comets
6%
Draws
90%
Adelaide City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Adelaide City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Adelaide City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Adelaide City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Adelaide City have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Adelaide Comets Clean Sheet 12%
Adelaide City Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Comets Adelaide City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide City
0:1
Mar 28, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide City vs Adelaide Comets
4:1
Jul 5, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide City vs Adelaide Comets
0:2
Apr 11, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide City
0:3
Aug 17, 2024 NPL South Australia
Adelaide City vs Adelaide Comets
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Comets Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Adelaide City Compare

Top Goalscorer Caraccia P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Comets 10 / 100
Adelaide City 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Comets Adelaide City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Comets scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Adelaide City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Adelaide Comets remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Comets VS Adelaide City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1MetroStars18114348:1937
2West Torrens Birkalla18113445:2636
3Adelaide City18106235:1636
4FK Beograd1793531:1930
5Playford Patriots1885536:2629
6Croydon1884640:3228
7Sturt Lions FC18711030:3022
8Campbelltown City1864828:2922
9Adelaide Utd U231757522:2422
10West Adelaide1847733:3419
11Adelaide Comets18341119:3513
12Para1802169:862