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Adelaide Comets vs West Adelaide

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Ellis Park, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Spadavecchia P.
50' Event
Paech D.
63' Event
Gomwikezwa G.

AI Match Summary

Adelaide Comets in this NPL South Australia matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adelaide Comets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Adelaide Comets
20%
Draws
40%
West Adelaide
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • West Adelaide have won more games recently than Adelaide Comets.
  • Win probability leans Adelaide Comets's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Adelaide Comets Clean Sheet 14%
West Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Comets West Adelaide
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Comets vs West Adelaide
3:2
Mar 13, 2026 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs Adelaide Comets
3:0
Jul 15, 2023 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs Adelaide Comets
2:2
Apr 25, 2023 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Comets vs West Adelaide
1:1
May 25, 2019 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs Adelaide Comets
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Comets Compare

Top Goalscorer Spadavecchia P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paech D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

West Adelaide Compare

Top Goalscorer Gollan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castaneda E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Comets 48 / 100
West Adelaide 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Comets West Adelaide

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adelaide Comets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Adelaide Comets found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

West Adelaide has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Adelaide Comets went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Comets VS West Adelaide
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Comets

(Home)
15 Aug
Para
2 : 5
Adelaide Comets
11 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
0 : 0
Adelaide Comets
07 Aug
Adelaide Comets
0 : 1
MetroStars
25 Jul
Adelaide Comets
1 : 0
FK Beograd
17 Jul
Campbelltown City
1 : 0
Adelaide Comets
Page 1 of 6

West Adelaide

(Away)
15 Aug
West Adelaide
1 : 2
Playford Patriots
07 Aug
West Torrens Birkalla
6 : 1
West Adelaide
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1
Para
25 Jul
MetroStars
1 : 3
West Adelaide
18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0
Sturt Lions FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)