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Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs MetroStars

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Carle A.
50' Event
Carle A.

AI Match Summary

MetroStars in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored MetroStars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
15%
Draws
34%
MetroStars
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Adelaide Croatia Raiders at 2.33 per game, MetroStars at 2.22.
  • Adelaide Croatia Raiders are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • MetroStars have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Clean Sheet 16%
MetroStars Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Croatia Raiders MetroStars
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 18 18
Draws 2 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.33 2.22
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs MetroStars
0:2
Jun 14, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs MetroStars
0:2
Mar 16, 2025 NPL South Australia
MetroStars vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
5:1
Jun 1, 2024 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs MetroStars
0:0
Mar 2, 2024 NPL South Australia
MetroStars vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

MetroStars Compare

Top Goalscorer Carle A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Croatia Raiders 84 / 100
MetroStars 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Croatia Raiders MetroStars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adelaide Croatia Raiders Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Croatia Raiders's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Adelaide Croatia Raiders went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

MetroStars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Croatia Raiders VS MetroStars
2.75 Goals Scored 2.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Croatia Raiders

(Home)
12 Sept
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 1
Modbury Jets
05 Sept
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 0
Blue Eagles
29 Aug
Blue Eagles
0 : 3
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
15 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 1
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
07 Aug
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 2
The Cove FC
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MetroStars

(Away)
05 Sept
West Torrens Birkalla
2 : 0
MetroStars
29 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 2
West Torrens Birkalla
22 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0
Croydon
15 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0
Croydon
07 Aug
Adelaide Comets
0 : 1
MetroStars
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