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Adelaide Olympic vs The Cove FC

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Adelaide Olympic play The Cove FC in the SA State League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Adelaide Olympic averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. The Cove FC averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Adelaide Olympic won 1, The Cove FC won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Adelaide Olympic and 1.31 for The Cove FC. This points to a Adelaide Olympic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Adelaide Olympic
26%
Draws
36%
The Cove FC
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Adelaide Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Adelaide Olympic picked up more points recently compared to The Cove FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Adelaide Olympic Clean Sheet 18%
The Cove FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Olympic The Cove FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs The Cove FC
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Adelaide Olympic
3:2
Jun 14, 2025 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Adelaide Olympic
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs The Cove FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Demasi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nassau E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

The Cove FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Olympic 38 / 100
The Cove FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Olympic The Cove FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Adelaide Olympic or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Adelaide Olympic attacking → ← attacking The Cove FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Olympic scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

The Cove FC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Adelaide Olympic went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

The Cove FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 44
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders17111546:2334
2Fulham United17103437:2433
3Adelaide Olympic17101632:2331
4Adelaide Atletico1793533:2430
5Modbury Jets1685330:1329
6Blue Eagles1683528:2427
7Cumberland United1781829:2325
8The Cove FC1774624:2425
9Eastern United1744918:3316
10Adelaide Cobras17511121:3716
11Salisbury United17321219:3911
12South Adelaide17321217:4711