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Adelaide Olympic vs Cumberland United Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Aqil A.
73' Event
Aqil A.
82' Event
Shearer C.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between Adelaide Olympic and Cumberland United finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adelaide Olympic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Adelaide Olympic
15%
Draws
42%
Cumberland United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Adelaide Olympic come out ahead of Cumberland United on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Adelaide Olympic Clean Sheet 17%
Cumberland United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Olympic Cumberland United
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 17 12
Draws 1 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.74 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Adelaide Olympic
0:2
May 17, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs Cumberland United
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Adelaide Olympic
2:1
May 10, 2025 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs Cumberland United
2:1
Aug 6, 2022 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Olympic vs Cumberland United
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Aqil A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cumberland United Compare

Top Goalscorer Shearer C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Olympic 31 / 100
Cumberland United 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Olympic Cumberland United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumberland United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Adelaide Olympic scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Cumberland United conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Difficult form: Cumberland United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Olympic VS Cumberland United
1.75 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Olympic

(Home)
05 Sept
Modbury Jets
6 : 0
Adelaide Olympic
28 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 4
Modbury Jets
21 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
3 : 1
Adelaide Atletico
15 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 1
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
08 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 2
Adelaide Olympic
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Cumberland United

(Away)
15 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 1
Modbury Jets
08 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 2
Adelaide Olympic
01 Aug
The Cove FC
0 : 2
Cumberland United
25 Jul
Cumberland United
2 : 1
Blue Eagles
21 Jul
Cumberland United
0 : 3
Heidelberg Utd
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)