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Adelaide Olympic vs Modbury Jets

Australia Australia

SA State League
Adelaide Olympic Logo

Adelaide Olympic

0 - 4
FT
Modbury Jets Logo

Modbury Jets

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Akimoto T.
27' Event
McCabe H.
45' Event
Tassotti C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 6-0. This leg finished 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Adelaide Olympic
15%
Draws
57%
Modbury Jets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modbury Jets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Modbury Jets average 2.3 goals a game right now, well clear of Adelaide Olympic's 1.75.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Modbury Jets taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Modbury Jets, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Modbury Jets have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Adelaide Olympic Clean Sheet 16%
Modbury Jets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Olympic Modbury Jets
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 18
Draws 1 5
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.75 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Olympic
6:0
Aug 28, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs Modbury Jets
0:4
Jun 27, 2026 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Olympic
4:1
Mar 27, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs Modbury Jets
1:1
Jun 22, 2024 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Olympic vs Modbury Jets
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Olympic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Modbury Jets Compare

Top Goalscorer Akimoto T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McCabe H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Olympic 10 / 100
Modbury Jets 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Olympic Modbury Jets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modbury Jets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Adelaide Olympic scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Modbury Jets conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Adelaide Olympic remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Olympic VS Modbury Jets
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Olympic

(Home)
05 Sept
Modbury Jets
6 : 0
Adelaide Olympic
28 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 4
Modbury Jets
21 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
3 : 1
Adelaide Atletico
15 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 1
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
08 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 2
Adelaide Olympic
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Modbury Jets

(Away)
12 Sept
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 1
Modbury Jets
05 Sept
Modbury Jets
6 : 0
Adelaide Olympic
28 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 4
Modbury Jets
15 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 1
Modbury Jets
08 Aug
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Adelaide Croatia Raiders -
TBD -
Fulham United 2
Blue Eagles 3
Modbury Jets -
TBD -
Adelaide Olympic 3
Adelaide Atletico 1
Semi-finals
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 7
Blue Eagles 0
Modbury Jets 10
Adelaide Olympic 0
Final
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 4
Modbury Jets 1