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Adelaide Utd U23 vs Adelaide City Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia ServiceFM Stadium, Adelaide
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Match Events

51'
Kasumovic F.
51'
Kasumovic F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL South Australia matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Adelaide Utd U23
15%
Draws
58%
Adelaide City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Adelaide City have won more games recently than Adelaide Utd U23.
  • Win probability leans Adelaide City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Adelaide Utd U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Adelaide City Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Utd U23 Adelaide City
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 10 22
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.52 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Utd U23 vs Adelaide City
0:0
Mar 14, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide City vs Adelaide Utd U23
2:2
Aug 9, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide City vs Adelaide Utd U23
4:0
May 18, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Utd U23 vs Adelaide City
3:1
Jul 21, 2024 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Utd U23 vs Adelaide City
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Utd U23 10 / 100
Adelaide City 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Utd U23 Adelaide City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adelaide City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Adelaide Utd U23 scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Adelaide Utd U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Adelaide City has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Utd U23 VS Adelaide City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Utd U23

(Home)
15 Aug
West Torrens Birkalla
2 : 1
Adelaide Utd U23
08 Aug
Adelaide Utd U23
5 : 2
Para
01 Aug
MetroStars
1 : 1
Adelaide Utd U23
25 Jul
Adelaide Utd U23
2 : 3
Sturt Lions FC
19 Jul
FK Beograd
0 : 2
Adelaide Utd U23
Page 1 of 7

Adelaide City

(Away)
11 Sept
Adelaide City
3 : 2
West Torrens Birkalla
05 Sept
Adelaide City
6 : 0
Playford Patriots
29 Aug
Playford Patriots
1 : 2
Adelaide City
15 Aug
FK Beograd
0 : 3
Adelaide City
07 Aug
Adelaide City
1 : 0
Playford Patriots
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)