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Adelaide Utd vs Brisbane Roar

Australia Australia

A-League Coopers Stadium, Adelaide
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Adelaide Utd host Brisbane Roar in the A-League. This one's hard to separate. Brisbane Roar have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Adelaide Utd have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, Adelaide Utd have won 2 to Brisbane Roar's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.50 - 1.69) back Adelaide Utd to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Adelaide Utd
30%
Draws
34%
Brisbane Roar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Adelaide Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Adelaide Utd have won more games recently than Brisbane Roar.
  • Win probability leans Adelaide Utd's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular A-League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Adelaide Utd Clean Sheet 13%
Brisbane Roar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Utd Brisbane Roar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide Utd
2:3
Dec 7, 2025 A-League
Adelaide Utd vs Brisbane Roar
0:1
Apr 22, 2025 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide Utd
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 A-League
Adelaide Utd vs Brisbane Roar
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide Utd
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Utd 35 / 100
Brisbane Roar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Utd Brisbane Roar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Adelaide Utd scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Brisbane Roar has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Adelaide Utd remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Utd VS Brisbane Roar
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Utd

(Home)
20 Jul
Playford Patriots
0 : 2
Adelaide Utd
14 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 5
Adelaide Utd
15 May
Adelaide Utd
0 : 3
Auckland FC
09 May
Auckland FC
1 : 1
Adelaide Utd
26 Apr
Melbourne City
1 : 2
Adelaide Utd
Page 1 of 6

Brisbane Roar

(Away)
22 Jul
Ipswich
0 : 5
Brisbane Roar
15 Jul
Caboolture
0 : 3
Brisbane Roar
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1
Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Brisbane Roar
2 : 3
Melbourne City
10 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Utd00000:00
2Central Coast00000:00
3Newcastle Jets00000:00
4Perth Glory00000:00
5Brisbane Roar00000:00
6Sydney FC00000:00
7Wellington Phoenix00000:00
8Melbourne Victory00000:00
9Melbourne City00000:00
10Western Sydney Wanderers00000:00
11Macarthur FC00000:00
12Auckland FC00000:00
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)