Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Adelaide Utd vs Perth Glory

Australia Australia

A-League 2025/2026 Coopers Stadium, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Muniz J.
29' Event
Yull J.
31'
Sub
Ostler T. In: Despotovski S.
Out: Ostler T.

AI Match Summary

The A-League 2025/2026 game between Adelaide Utd and Perth Glory finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adelaide Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Adelaide Utd
30%
Draws
37%
Perth Glory
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Perth Glory

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Adelaide Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Adelaide Utd Clean Sheet 17%
Perth Glory Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Utd Perth Glory
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.79 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 A-League
Adelaide Utd vs Perth Glory
4:0
Dec 20, 2025 A-League
Perth Glory vs Adelaide Utd
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 A-League
Perth Glory vs Adelaide Utd
4:1
Nov 29, 2024 A-League
Adelaide Utd vs Perth Glory
2:2
Apr 7, 2024 A-League
Perth Glory vs Adelaide Utd
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Muniz J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yull J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Perth Glory Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Utd 30 / 100
Perth Glory 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Utd Perth Glory

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Utd's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Perth Glory let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Adelaide Utd remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Utd VS Perth Glory
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Utd

(Home)
30 Jul
South Melbourne
2 : 1
Adelaide Utd
20 Jul
Playford Patriots
0 : 2
Adelaide Utd
14 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 5
Adelaide Utd
15 May
Adelaide Utd
0 : 3
Auckland FC
09 May
Auckland FC
1 : 1
Adelaide Utd
Page 1 of 6

Perth Glory

(Away)
21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1
Perth Glory
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1
Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0
Perth Glory
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
04 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2
Perth Glory
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Jets 26 15 3 8 55:39 48
2 Adelaide Utd 26 12 7 7 46:36 43
3 Auckland FC 26 11 9 6 42:29 42
4 Melbourne Victory 26 11 7 8 44:33 40
5 Sydney FC 26 11 6 9 33:25 39
6 Melbourne City 26 10 8 8 33:33 38
7 Macarthur FC 26 9 7 10 37:44 34
8 Wellington Phoenix 26 9 6 11 36:48 33
9 Central Coast 26 8 8 10 35:42 32
10 Perth Glory 26 8 7 11 32:39 31
11 Brisbane Roar 26 6 8 12 27:36 26
12 Western Sydney Wanderers 26 5 6 15 27:43 21
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)