Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Adelaide W vs Wellington Phoenix W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

A-League Women
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Adelaide W host Wellington Phoenix W in the A-League Women. This one's hard to separate. Wellington Phoenix W have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Adelaide W have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.34. Past meetings favor Wellington Phoenix W slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (0.94 - 1.50) back Adelaide W to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Adelaide W
15%
Draws
73%
Wellington Phoenix W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Phoenix W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Adelaide W have won more games recently than Wellington Phoenix W.
  • Win probability leans Wellington Phoenix W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Adelaide W Clean Sheet 16%
Wellington Phoenix W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide W Wellington Phoenix W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 A-League Women
Adelaide W vs Wellington Phoenix W
0:2
Jan 25, 2026 A-League Women
Wellington Phoenix W vs Adelaide W
3:1
Mar 2, 2025 A-League Women
Wellington Phoenix W vs Adelaide W
1:3
Jan 12, 2025 A-League Women
Adelaide W vs Wellington Phoenix W
2:1
Nov 22, 2024 A-League Women
Adelaide W vs Wellington Phoenix W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide W 15 / 100
Wellington Phoenix W 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide W Wellington Phoenix W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wellington Phoenix W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Wellington Phoenix W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Wellington Phoenix W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide W VS Wellington Phoenix W
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide W

(Home)
25 Apr
Brisbane Roar W
3 : 0
Adelaide W
03 Apr
Adelaide W
0 : 2
Wellington Phoenix W
28 Mar
Adelaide W
1 : 3
Newcastle W
22 Mar
Canberra W
3 : 2
Adelaide W
18 Mar
Melbourne City W
0 : 0
Adelaide W
Page 1 of 6

Wellington Phoenix W

(Away)
16 May
Melbourne City W
3 : 1
Wellington Phoenix W
10 May
Wellington Phoenix W
2 : 0
Brisbane Roar W
03 May
Brisbane Roar W
2 : 1
Wellington Phoenix W
03 Apr
Adelaide W
0 : 2
Wellington Phoenix W
29 Mar
Wellington Phoenix W
0 : 1
Western Sydney Wanderers W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Brisbane Roar W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Newcastle W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Canberra W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Sydney W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Melbourne Victory W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Perth W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Western Sydney Wanderers W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Melbourne City W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Wellington Phoenix W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Central Coast W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A-League Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League Women (Play Offs)