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Adhyaksa Bekasi vs PSMS Medan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Patriot Stadium, Bekasi
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Vieira A.
45'
Shimizu T.
46'
Sub
Mandosir E. In: Rumbino D.
Out: Mandosir E.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Adhyaksa Bekasi and PSMS Medan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSMS Medan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Adhyaksa Bekasi
35%
Draws
37%
PSMS Medan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: PSMS Medan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PSMS Medan come out ahead of Adhyaksa Bekasi on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Adhyaksa Bekasi Clean Sheet 15%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adhyaksa Bekasi PSMS Medan
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Championship
Adhyaksa Bekasi vs PSMS Medan
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Championship
Adhyaksa Bekasi vs PSMS Medan
2:1
Jan 30, 2026 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Adhyaksa Bekasi
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Championship
Adhyaksa Bekasi vs PSMS Medan
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 Championship
Adhyaksa Bekasi vs PSMS Medan
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adhyaksa Bekasi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

PSMS Medan Compare

Top Goalscorer Siverio J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adhyaksa Bekasi 31 / 100
PSMS Medan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adhyaksa Bekasi PSMS Medan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: PSMS Medan conceded in 83% of 35 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Adhyaksa Bekasi scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Adhyaksa Bekasi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Adhyaksa Bekasi VS PSMS Medan
1 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Adhyaksa Bekasi

(Home)
04 Nov
Java United
5 : 0
Adhyaksa Bekasi
31 Oct
Adhyaksa Bekasi
1 : 1
PSPS Riau
24 Oct
Adhyaksa Bekasi
1 : 1
Sumsel United
17 Oct
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 0
Adhyaksa Bekasi
10 Oct
Adhyaksa Bekasi
4 : 0
PSGC Ciamis
Page 1 of 6

PSMS Medan

(Away)
03 Nov
PSMS Medan
1 : 1
Persija Jakarta
31 Oct
PSGC Ciamis
1 : 2
PSMS Medan
25 Oct
PSMS Medan
2 : 1
PSIS Semarang
17 Oct
Semen Padang
1 : 1
PSMS Medan
11 Oct
PSPS Riau
2 : 1
PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSPS Riau 8 6 1 1 16:9 19
2 PSMS Medan 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Persikad Depok 8 4 1 3 11:13 13
4 Semen Padang 8 4 2 2 9:6 13
5 PSIS Semarang 8 3 3 2 9:7 11
6 Sumsel United 8 3 2 3 13:11 10
7 Persiraja Aceh 8 3 1 4 11:10 9
8 Adhyaksa Bekasi 8 1 4 3 8:7 7
9 PSGC Ciamis 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
10 Persiku Kudus 8 0 1 7 6:26 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 8 5 2 1 16:5 16
2 PS Barito Putera 8 5 1 2 16:9 16
3 Deltras Sidoarjo 8 4 3 1 18:11 15
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 8 4 4 0 16:4 15
5 RANS Nusantara 8 4 3 1 18:11 15
6 Persipura Jayapura 8 3 2 3 19:13 10
7 De Red 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
8 Persis Solo 8 1 4 3 14:12 7
9 Balikpapan 8 1 0 7 6:18 -1
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 8 0 0 8 3:41 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)