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Adhyaksa Bekasi vs Sumsel United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Patriot Stadium, Bekasi
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Widiansyah R.
46'
Sub
Selang R. In: Winchester R.
Out: Selang R.
46'
Sub
Saputro R. In: Tiwu J.
Out: Saputro R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Adhyaksa Bekasi
35%
Draws
41%
Sumsel United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sumsel United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Adhyaksa Bekasi haven't matched Sumsel United's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Adhyaksa Bekasi Clean Sheet 16%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adhyaksa Bekasi Sumsel United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Championship
Adhyaksa Bekasi vs Sumsel United
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs Adhyaksa Bekasi
1:1
Dec 29, 2025 Championship
Sumsel United vs Adhyaksa Bekasi
2:1
Oct 6, 2025 Championship
Adhyaksa Bekasi vs Sumsel United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adhyaksa Bekasi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Sumsel United Compare

Top Goalscorer Hardi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adhyaksa Bekasi 36 / 100
Sumsel United 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adhyaksa Bekasi Sumsel United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sumsel United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sumsel United conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Adhyaksa Bekasi found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Adhyaksa Bekasi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Adhyaksa Bekasi VS Sumsel United
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Adhyaksa Bekasi

(Home)
04 Nov
Java United
5 : 0
Adhyaksa Bekasi
31 Oct
Adhyaksa Bekasi
1 : 1
PSPS Riau
24 Oct
Adhyaksa Bekasi
1 : 1
Sumsel United
17 Oct
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 0
Adhyaksa Bekasi
10 Oct
Adhyaksa Bekasi
4 : 0
PSGC Ciamis
Page 1 of 6

Sumsel United

(Away)
30 Oct
Semen Padang
1 : 0
Sumsel United
24 Oct
Adhyaksa Bekasi
1 : 1
Sumsel United
18 Oct
Sumsel United
2 : 1
Persikad Depok
10 Oct
Sumsel United
5 : 1
Persiku Kudus
02 Oct
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 2
Sumsel United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSPS Riau 8 6 1 1 16:9 19
2 PSMS Medan 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Persikad Depok 8 4 1 3 11:13 13
4 Semen Padang 8 4 2 2 9:6 13
5 PSIS Semarang 8 3 3 2 9:7 11
6 Sumsel United 8 3 2 3 13:11 10
7 Persiraja Aceh 8 3 1 4 11:10 9
8 Adhyaksa Bekasi 8 1 4 3 8:7 7
9 PSGC Ciamis 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
10 Persiku Kudus 8 0 1 7 6:26 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 8 5 2 1 16:5 16
2 PS Barito Putera 8 5 1 2 16:9 16
3 Deltras Sidoarjo 8 4 3 1 18:11 15
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 8 4 4 0 16:4 15
5 RANS Nusantara 8 4 3 1 18:11 15
6 Persipura Jayapura 8 3 2 3 19:13 10
7 De Red 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
8 Persis Solo 8 1 4 3 14:12 7
9 Balikpapan 8 1 0 7 6:18 -1
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 8 0 0 8 3:41 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)