Sport Picks

Austria

Tipico Bundesliga 2019/2020 Datenpol Arena (BSFZ)

Mattersburg

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Admira play Mattersburg in the Tipico Bundesliga 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Admira averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Mattersburg averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Admira won 2, Mattersburg won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 27, 2020 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Admira and 1.38 for Mattersburg. This points to a Admira double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Admira

20%

Draws

36%

Mattersburg

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Admira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Admira picked up more points recently compared to Mattersburg.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Admira Clean Sheet 17%

Mattersburg Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Admira	Mattersburg
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	12	10
Draws	7	5
Losses	12	14
Goals Scored	1.55	1.62
Goals Conceded	1.87	1.48

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2020 Bundesliga

Mattersburg vs Admira

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Jun 6, 2020 Bundesliga

Admira vs Mattersburg

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 2 - 4

0:2

Dec 8, 2019 Bundesliga

Mattersburg vs Admira

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 1 - 4

1:2

Aug 31, 2019 Bundesliga

Admira vs Mattersburg

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

1:3

Apr 27, 2019 Bundesliga

Mattersburg vs Admira

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Admira Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Mattersburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Gruber A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Admira 43 / 100

Mattersburg 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Admira Mattersburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Admira or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Admira attacking → ← attacking Mattersburg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Admira scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Mattersburg let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Admira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mattersburg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 35

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
7	Austria Vienna	32	12	11	9	49:47	34
8	Altach	32	10	8	14	45:53	26
9	St. Polten	32	8	10	14	39:65	25
10	Mattersburg	32	8	6	18	39:64	21
11	Admira	32	6	10	16	29:57	18
12	Tirol	32	6	8	18	34:66	16