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ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Excelsior Maassluis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker
Tue, Sep 1, 2026
1 - 2
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
de Vre J.
69'
Vrenegoor J.
70' Event
Tahiri M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
ADO 20 Heemskerk
15%
Draws
61%
Excelsior Maassluis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Excelsior Maassluis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Excelsior Maassluis a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Excelsior Maassluis arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Excelsior Maassluis, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADO 20 Heemskerk Excelsior Maassluis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 KNVB Beker
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Excelsior Maassluis
1:2
May 17, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
2:0
Feb 4, 2025 Tweede Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Excelsior Maassluis
0:4
Mar 23, 2024 Tweede Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Excelsior Maassluis
3:0
Oct 14, 2023 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ADO 20 Heemskerk Compare

Top Goalscorer de Vre J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Excelsior Maassluis Compare

Top Goalscorer Tahiri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 / 100
Excelsior Maassluis 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADO 20 Heemskerk Excelsior Maassluis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Maassluis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ADO 20 Heemskerk scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Excelsior Maassluis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: ADO 20 Heemskerk stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ADO 20 Heemskerk VS Excelsior Maassluis
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ADO 20 Heemskerk

(Home)
03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3
ADO 20 Heemskerk
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5
VV Hoogeveen
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1
VV Scherpenzeel
05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6
ADO 20 Heemskerk
Page 1 of 6

Excelsior Maassluis

(Away)
03 Oct
VVSB
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0
Blauw Geel
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0
Roosendaal
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3
Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
ACV Assen 6
Westlandia 1
VV Hoogeveen 3
SVZW Wierden 2
Groene Ster 2
VV Heerjansdam 1
Be Quick 1887 0
AFC 2
Hardenberg -
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Barendrecht -
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Harkemase Boys 0
Excelsior 31 1
Alkmaarse FC 1934 4
VV Scherpenzeel 1
TBD -
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Sportlust 3
Blauw Geel 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk 1
Excelsior Maassluis 2
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GVVV -
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ATC 65 1
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
GOES 0
VV Noordwijk 1
HZVV Hoogeveen 0
Frisia 4
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Sparta Nijkerk 2
Venray 0
Rkvv Spartaan 20 0
RKSV UDI 19 5
Dongen 2
Watergraafsmeer 4
TEC 4
Almkerk 2
TBD -
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NAC Breda -
Longa '30 0
Koninklijke HFC 4
Surhusterfean 1
VV DOVO 2
TBD -
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TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Mierlo-Hout 2
Germania Groesbeek 3
TBD -
Kozakken Boys -
TBD -
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Utrecht -
Maastricht -
TBD -
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Excelsior -
Zwolle -
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TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
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Elinkwijk 0
Eemdijk 3
GSV 28 0
Roosendaal 4
Rijnsburgse Boys -
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Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam -
TBD -
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Spakenburg -
TOGB 3
Katwijk 2
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Rohda Raalte -
Roda -
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De Graafschap -
Staphorst 3
UNA 2
Genemuiden 2
Lisse 1
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Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
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Sittard -
Telstar -
TBD -
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Almere City -
Lierop 0
VV Zwaluwen 7
Purmersteijn 4
RKVV Zwaluw 3
IJsselmeervogels -
TBD -
FC 's-Gravenzande 0
Gemert 2
NSVV 2
VV Kloetinge 4
Achilles Veen 4
SV Poortugaal 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Rijnvogels 5
VV Bennekom 0
VVSB 2
Ajax (Am) 0
USV Hercules 1
EVV 3
HVV Hollandia 2
RKSV Halsteren 3
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1/64-finals
ACV Assen 2
VV Hoogeveen 1
Groene Ster 1
AFC 6
Hardenberg 0
Barendrecht 1
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Excelsior 31 4
Alkmaarse FC 1934 3
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Sportlust 0
Excelsior Maassluis 2
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GVVV 4
DVS '33 Ermelo 0
VV Noordwijk 1
Frisia 0
TBD -
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Sparta Nijkerk 3
RKSV UDI 19 1
Watergraafsmeer 5
TEC 4
TBD -
NAC Breda -
Koninklijke HFC 3
VV DOVO 1
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Germania Groesbeek 1
Kozakken Boys 5
TBD -
Utrecht -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
Eemdijk 2
Roosendaal 1
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam 3
Spakenburg 2
TOGB 4
Rohda Raalte 6
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
Staphorst 2
Genemuiden 3
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Telstar -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
VV Zwaluwen 0
Purmersteijn 1
IJsselmeervogels 0
Gemert 3
VV Kloetinge 8
Achilles Veen 0
TBD -
Cambuur -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Rijnvogels 0
VVSB 1
EVV 3
RKSV Halsteren 1
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1/32-finals
ACV Assen -
AFC -
Barendrecht -
Waalwijk -
De Treffers -
Heracles -
Excelsior 31 -
Den Haag -
Excelsior Maassluis -
Heerenveen -
Eindhoven FC -
FC Volendam -
Groningen -
FC Emmen -
GVVV -
VV Noordwijk -
Helmond Sport -
Willem II -
HSV Hoek -
Sparta Nijkerk -
Watergraafsmeer -
NAC Breda -
Koninklijke HFC -
G.A. Eagles -
Kozakken Boys -
Utrecht -
Maastricht -
Excelsior -
Zwolle -
TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
Eemdijk -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam -
Rohda Raalte -
Roda -
De Graafschap -
Genemuiden -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
Sittard -
Telstar -
Almere City -
Purmersteijn -
Gemert -
VV Kloetinge -
Cambuur -
Venlo -
Vitesse -
VVSB -
EVV -
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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