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ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Harkemase Boys

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark De Vlotter, Heemskerk
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between ADO 20 Heemskerk and Harkemase Boys finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ADO 20 Heemskerk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
ADO 20 Heemskerk
33%
Draws
40%
Harkemase Boys
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Harkemase Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ADO 20 Heemskerk come out ahead of Harkemase Boys on wins alone.
  • Harkemase Boys are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 20%
Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADO 20 Heemskerk Harkemase Boys
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Harkemase Boys
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADO 20 Heemskerk 28 / 100
Harkemase Boys 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADO 20 Heemskerk Harkemase Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ADO 20 Heemskerk's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Harkemase Boys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: ADO 20 Heemskerk remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ADO 20 Heemskerk VS Harkemase Boys
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ADO 20 Heemskerk

(Home)
06 Jun
IJsselmeervogels
1 : 0
ADO 20 Heemskerk
03 Jun
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 7
IJsselmeervogels
30 May
Lisse
0 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
27 May
ADO 20 Heemskerk
2 : 0
Lisse
23 May
VV DOVO
1 : 0
ADO 20 Heemskerk
Page 1 of 7

Harkemase Boys

(Away)
23 May
Harkemase Boys
4 : 1
Sportlust
16 May
USV Hercules
4 : 0
Harkemase Boys
09 May
Harkemase Boys
2 : 1
Rohda Raalte
02 May
Harkemase Boys
2 : 3
Urk
25 Apr
Excelsior 31
0 : 1
Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rohda Raalte34207763:3667
2DVS '33 Ermelo341711659:3962
3Sparta Nijkerk341941184:4361
4ADO 20 Heemskerk34179846:3660
5Genemuiden341751261:5256
6Staphorst341731463:5354
7Harkemase Boys3414101056:4452
8VV DOVO341571253:4352
9Eemdijk341481268:5950
10VV Scherpenzeel341471359:4949
11VV Hoogeveen341461454:6448
12Sportlust341451554:5247
13USV Hercules341351653:5744
14Excelsior 31341241849:5740
15Huizen341171651:6340
16TEC341241848:6440
17Urk34871961:9731
18HSC '2134152835:1098
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1VV Kloetinge34227568:4373
2Lisse34208667:3368
3VVSB34215870:3768
4Rijnvogels34197863:3964
5Gemert341710771:4661
6Roosendaal341591071:5854
7TOGB341581164:6153
8VV Zwaluwen341561361:4851
9Blauw Geel341461453:5148
10VV Noordwijk341281456:5144
11RKSV UDI 19341161757:7439
12UNA341081651:5938
13GOES341071743:6137
14Groene Ster341061845:6436
15SteDoCo341042035:6934
16SVV Scheveningen34952049:6532
17Meerssen34871947:7031
18ASWH34672145:8725
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)