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ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Harkemase Boys Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark De Vlotter, Heemskerk
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AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between ADO 20 Heemskerk and Harkemase Boys finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ADO 20 Heemskerk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
ADO 20 Heemskerk
20%
Draws
58%
Harkemase Boys
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harkemase Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Harkemase Boys come out ahead of ADO 20 Heemskerk on wins alone.
  • Harkemase Boys are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 14%
Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADO 20 Heemskerk Harkemase Boys
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.42 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Harkemase Boys
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADO 20 Heemskerk 23 / 100
Harkemase Boys 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADO 20 Heemskerk Harkemase Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harkemase Boys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ADO 20 Heemskerk's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Harkemase Boys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: ADO 20 Heemskerk remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ADO 20 Heemskerk VS Harkemase Boys
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ADO 20 Heemskerk

(Home)
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5
VV Hoogeveen
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1
VV Scherpenzeel
05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6
ADO 20 Heemskerk
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 7

Harkemase Boys

(Away)
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0
VV Scherpenzeel
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1
Staphorst
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
01 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 1
Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)