Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020

Jong Den Haag

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ADO 20 Heemskerk play Jong Den Haag in the Derde Divisie 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, ADO 20 Heemskerk averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Jong Den Haag averaged 2 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, ADO 20 Heemskerk won 0, Jong Den Haag won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 29, 2020 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for ADO 20 Heemskerk and 1.31 for Jong Den Haag. This points to a Jong Den Haag double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

ADO 20 Heemskerk

18%

Draws

41%

Jong Den Haag

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Jong Den Haag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

ADO 20 Heemskerk picked up more points recently compared to Jong Den Haag.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 18%

Jong Den Haag Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	ADO 20 Heemskerk	Jong Den Haag
Matches Played	30	19
Wins	15	10
Draws	7	2
Losses	8	7
Goals Scored	1.3	2
Goals Conceded	1.2	1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2020 Derde Divisie

ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Jong Den Haag

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Sep 15, 2019 Derde Divisie

Jong Den Haag vs ADO 20 Heemskerk

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 0 - 1

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADO 20 Heemskerk 41 / 100

Jong Den Haag 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ADO 20 Heemskerk Jong Den Haag

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jong Den Haag or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ADO 20 Heemskerk attacking → ← attacking Jong Den Haag

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ADO 20 Heemskerk scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Jong Den Haag let in goals in 84% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

ADO 20 Heemskerk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Jong Den Haag lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 32

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sparta Nijkerk	22	17	1	4	58:27	52
2	ODIN '59	22	15	2	5	63:30	47
3	Harkemase Boys	22	13	3	6	43:34	42
4	DVS '33 Ermelo	23	13	3	7	39:30	42
5	Lisse	23	11	5	7	44:33	38
6	HSV Hoek	23	10	4	9	54:42	34
7	Barendrecht	23	10	4	9	37:38	34
8	Excelsior 31	23	9	4	10	50:40	31
9	Jong Almere City	23	9	4	10	54:48	31
10	Ajax (Am)	22	9	4	9	31:38	31
11	GOES	23	9	4	10	33:44	31
12	VVSB	22	8	4	10	47:48	28
13	SteDoCo	22	7	7	8	41:42	28
14	Ter Leede	23	7	6	10	36:53	27
15	VV DOVO	23	6	4	13	45:55	22
16	ONS Sneek	23	2	6	15	32:72	12
17	VVOG	22	2	5	15	26:59	11

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC OSS '20	22	16	5	1	55:24	53
2	Jong Den Haag	22	12	3	7	47:36	39
3	OFC Oostzaan	22	11	3	8	38:27	36
4	Gemert	22	10	5	7	42:42	35
5	Dongen	20	9	7	4	34:19	34
6	UNA	22	8	8	6	35:39	32
7	EVV	22	8	7	7	30:27	31
8	Blauw Geel	22	8	5	9	38:38	29
9	HSC '21	22	8	5	9	34:39	29
10	DEM	22	7	6	9	31:31	27
11	USV Hercules	21	8	3	10	35:38	27
12	Groene Ster	22	7	6	9	28:33	27
13	HV & CV Quick	21	7	5	9	29:26	26
14	Westlandia	22	6	6	10	31:40	24
15	ADO 20 Heemskerk	21	5	6	10	29:35	21
16	Lienden	21	4	6	11	17:39	18
17	Hoogland	22	3	8	11	31:51	17