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ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Roosendaal

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker Sportpark Fortuna Wormerveer
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AI Match Summary

ADO 20 Heemskerk play Roosendaal in the KNVB Beker. It looks like a close match. Recently, ADO 20 Heemskerk averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Roosendaal averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, ADO 20 Heemskerk won 0, Roosendaal won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 3, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for ADO 20 Heemskerk and 1.38 for Roosendaal. This points to a Roosendaal double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
ADO 20 Heemskerk
27%
Draws
37%
Roosendaal
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Roosendaal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • ADO 20 Heemskerk picked up more points recently compared to Roosendaal.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 17%
Roosendaal Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADO 20 Heemskerk Roosendaal
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.38 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2025 KNVB Beker
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Roosendaal
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ADO 20 Heemskerk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Roosendaal Compare

Top Goalscorer Pal J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boudzra R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADO 20 Heemskerk 36 / 100
Roosendaal 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADO 20 Heemskerk Roosendaal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Roosendaal or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ADO 20 Heemskerk attacking → ← attacking Roosendaal

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ADO 20 Heemskerk scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Roosendaal let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

ADO 20 Heemskerk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Roosendaal lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 48
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88