Sport Picks
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Staphorst
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark De Vlotter, Heemskerk 
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between ADO 20 Heemskerk and Staphorst finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ADO 20 Heemskerk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and ADO 20 Heemskerk come out ahead of Staphorst on wins alone.
- ADO 20 Heemskerk are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 14%
Staphorst Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | ADO 20 Heemskerk | Staphorst |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Staphorst
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Staphorst
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
ADO 20 Heemskerk 39 / 100
Staphorst 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
ADO 20 Heemskerk Staphorst
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ADO 20 Heemskerk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Staphorst let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
ADO 20 Heemskerk scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Away concern: Staphorst has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Games between these two average 1.33 goals.
Scoring Trends
ADO 20 Heemskerk VS Staphorst
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
ADO 20 Heemskerk
(Home) 20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1 VV Scherpenzeel
05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6 ADO 20 Heemskerk
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0 Staphorst
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1 VV Scherpenzeel
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0 Staphorst
16 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 USV Hercules
08 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 0 Koninklijke HFC
Page 1 of 3
Staphorst
(Away) 22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3 Genemuiden
19 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3 ACV Assen
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1 Staphorst
05 Sept
Staphorst
1 : 2 Genemuiden
02 Sept
Staphorst
3 : 2 UNA
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1 Staphorst
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0 Staphorst
15 Aug
VV DOVO
2 : 2 Staphorst
16 May
Excelsior 31
3 : 1 Staphorst
25 Apr
ADO 20 Heemskerk
2 : 0 Staphorst
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
